NRL Ladder 2026, Standings + AI Model Accuracy
Live standings · per-team model strike rate
The live 2026 NRL ladder, plus a unique extra view: how Alphr's AI prediction model is performing on tips involving each individual team. See which teams the model reads well, which ones it struggles with, and use it as a sanity check before backing any NRL edge bet.
NRL Ladder, after Round 14
Based on match resultsLadder uses match results (2 pts per win, 1 per draw, byes count). Tiebreaker: points → points-differential → points for. For = settled H2H tips backing this team (correct / total). Vs = tips against this team. SR = combined model strike rate on tips involving this team.
How the ladder feeds the model
Position on the ladder is not a feature the model uses directly. Ladder position is a lagging summary, not a predictor. Instead the model consumes the underlying signals that produce ladder position: rolling form, ELO ratings, points scored and conceded, margin trends, venue performance and recent travel. See the full breakdown on how our model works.
Top 8 vs Top 4, finals implications
The top 8 sides at the end of the regular season qualify for the NRL finals. The top 4 earn the "double chance", a loss in week 1 doesn't end their season. Watch the gap between 4th and 5th and between 8th and 9th in the final third of the regular season, that's where Alphr's edge tips tend to cluster, because teams scrapping for finals positions are often mispriced by the market.
Tips From The Current Round
See all NRL tips →No upcoming NRL tips locked in. New picks publish before each round. view the latest →
Round 101 Results
1W · 0L · 100%More NRL Resources
All NRL tips →How NRL Predictions Work
Full methodology of Alphr's 4-model XGBoost NRL AI, features, training data, edge filter.
Model Validation & Track Record
Evidence layer: blind 2025 backtest, anti-leakage features, closing line value and verified accuracy.
NRL Expert Tips
AI head-to-head NRL tips with edge ≥7%. Free, public, verified before kick-off.
NRL Best Bets
Highest-edge value picks of each NRL round. Pre-match analysis & implied probabilities.
NRL Margin Tips
Winning margin-band predictions (1–12, 13+, Draw) with ROI track record from 2025.
NRL Over/Under Tips
Total combined points predictions vs the Sportsbet line. Dual-score model output.
NRL Tipster Accuracy
Verified round-by-round NRL tipping accuracy and strike rate vs the bookmaker line.