# Alphr Model Accuracy — Verified Track Record

> Every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled after full time. Nothing is deleted or retro-edited.

## AFL — 2026 (live)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 59.1% | 91/154 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 55.8% | 86/154 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 36.4% | 56/154 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 52.6% | 81/154 |

## AFL — 2025 (completed)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 81.9% | 177/216 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 76.9% | 166/216 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 60.2% | 130/216 |

## NRL — 2026 (live)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 66% | 95/144 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 50% | 72/144 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 20.6% | 29/141 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 57.6% | 83/144 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 37% | 329/889 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 5.7% | 32/560 |

## NRL — 2025 (completed)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## Super League — 2026 (live)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 69.8% | 88/126 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 62.7% | 79/126 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 30.2% | 38/126 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 61.9% | 78/126 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 30.4% | 62/204 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 8.5% | 11/129 |

## Super League — 2025 (completed)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 |


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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-17 04:29 UTC