# Alphr Model Accuracy — Verified Track Record

> Every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled after full time. Nothing is deleted or retro-edited.

## AFL — 2026 (live)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 57.2% | 79/138 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 56.5% | 78/138 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 37% | 51/138 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 51.4% | 71/138 |

## AFL — 2025 (completed)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 81.9% | 177/216 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 76.9% | 166/216 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 60.2% | 130/216 |

## NRL — 2026 (live)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 67.9% | 89/131 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 49.6% | 65/131 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 20.9% | 27/129 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 56.5% | 74/131 |

## NRL — 2025 (completed)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## Super League — 2026 (live)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.2% | 79/111 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 61.3% | 68/111 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 28.8% | 32/111 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 61.3% | 68/111 |

## Super League — 2025 (completed)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.9% | 38/166 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 |


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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-04 05:32 UTC