# Warriors v Broncos — NRL Round 11 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Warriors v Broncos
Sun, 17 May, 04:05 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 11

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.69 (edge +9.6%) — model probability 65.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 5 · Predicted total: 43

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Warriors | Stat | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 28.8pts | Avg Score | 22.4pts |
| 20.4pts | Avg Conceded | 27.4pts |
| 8.4pts | Avg Margin | -5.0pts |
| 1668.6m | Run Metres | 1371.6m |
| 6.6 | Line Breaks | 4.2 |
| 321.0 | Tackles | 351.8 |
| 9.2 | Errors | 9.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors | R5 L · R6 W · R7 W · R8 W · R9 W | 28.8 |
| Broncos | R6 L · R7 W · R8 W · R9 L · R10 L | 22.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r11-warriors-v-broncos
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-27 21:16 UTC