# Eels v Storm — NRL Round 11 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Eels v Storm
Sat, 16 May, 07:45 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 11

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.37 (edge -8.6%) — model probability 60.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Eels +8.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Storm 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 6 · Predicted total: 48

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Eels | Stat | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 22.6pts | Avg Score | 19.2pts |
| 34.2pts | Avg Conceded | 31.2pts |
| -11.6pts | Avg Margin | -12.0pts |
| 1618.4m | Run Metres | 1477.0m |
| 4.0 | Line Breaks | 3.8 |
| 330.6 | Tackles | 360.2 |
| 11.4 | Errors | 11.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Eels | R6 L · R7 W · R8 L · R9 L · R10 W | 22.6 |
| Storm | R6 L · R7 L · R8 L · R9 L · R10 W | 19.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r11-eels-v-storm
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-27 21:12 UTC