# Sharks v Bulldogs — NRL Round 11 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Sharks v Bulldogs
Fri, 15 May, 06:00 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 11

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.57 (edge +5.4%) — model probability 66.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Sharks 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 5 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Sharks | Stat | Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 31.2pts | Avg Score | 17.6pts |
| 29.6pts | Avg Conceded | 31.6pts |
| 1.6pts | Avg Margin | -14.0pts |
| 1691.8m | Run Metres | 1616.0m |
| 6.0 | Line Breaks | 3.8 |
| 334.4 | Tackles | 351.4 |
| 11.6 | Errors | 11.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Sharks | R5 W · R6 L · R8 L · R9 W · R10 L | 31.2 |
| Bulldogs | R6 W · R7 L · R8 L · R9 L · R10 L | 17.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r11-sharks-v-bulldogs
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-27 21:16 UTC