# Rabbitohs v Dolphins — NRL Round 11 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Rabbitohs v Dolphins
Fri, 15 May, 08:05 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 11

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.80 (edge +3.3%) — model probability 56.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 4 · Predicted total: 47

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Rabbitohs | Stat | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 37.2pts | Avg Score | 26.0pts |
| 21.6pts | Avg Conceded | 23.4pts |
| 15.6pts | Avg Margin | 2.6pts |
| 1820.8m | Run Metres | 1794.2m |
| 8.0 | Line Breaks | 5.8 |
| 297.8 | Tackles | 359.8 |
| 9.0 | Errors | 11.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Rabbitohs | R6 L · R7 W · R8 W · R9 L · R10 W | 37.2 |
| Dolphins | R5 L · R7 L · R8 L · R9 W · R10 W | 26.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r11-rabbitohs-v-dolphins
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-27 21:12 UTC