# Super League Semi Finals 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Semi Finals of the 2026 season — 2 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Semi Finals at a glance
- 2 matches · 2W–6L on 8 settled picks (25% strike rate)

## Semi Finals predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds Rhinos v Warrington Wolves | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 58% | LOST |
| Wigan Warriors v Wakefield Trinity | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 71% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Leeds Rhinos v Warrington Wolves
Sat, 26 Sept, 05:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Semi Finals
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 57.6% / Warrington Wolves 42.4%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 57.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos -3.5 — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 34.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 6 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-sf-leeds-rhinos-v-warrington-wolves

### Wigan Warriors v Wakefield Trinity
Sun, 27 Sept, 02:30 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Semi Finals
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 70.9% / Wakefield Trinity 29.1%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 70.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity +13.5 — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 36.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 9 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-sf-wigan-warriors-v-wakefield-trinity

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 70.1% | 136/194 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 59.8% | 116/194 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 25.8% | 50/194 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 61.9% | 120/194 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 34.9% | 231/661 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 29/417 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/play-off-eliminators (markdown: /super-league/round/play-off-eliminators.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/grand-final (markdown: /super-league/round/grand-final.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/semi-finals
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-11-01 00:19 UTC (latest tip update)