# Super League Semi Finals 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Semi Finals of the 2026 season — 2 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Semi Finals at a glance
- 2 matches · 8 picks pending

## Semi Finals predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Best edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds Rhinos v Warrington Wolves | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 58% | — |
| Wigan Warriors v Wakefield Trinity | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 71% | — |

## Match-by-match

### Leeds Rhinos v Warrington Wolves
Sat, 26 Sept, 05:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Semi Finals
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 57.6% / Warrington Wolves 42.4%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 57.6%
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos -3.5 — model probability 57.6%
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 57.6%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 34.5 — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 6 · Predicted total: 49
**Anytime Try Scorer picks:**
- Brodie Croft — model probability 50.0%
- Danny Walker — model probability 20.8%
- Kallum Watkins — model probability 26.2%
- Arron Lindop — model probability 31.7%
- Albert Hopoate — model probability 31.2%
- Matthew Ashton — model probability 37.1%
**First Try Scorer picks:**
- Arron Lindop — model probability 4.1%
- Albert Hopoate — model probability 3.6%
- Brodie Croft — model probability 6.7%
- Ryan Hall — model probability 3.2%
- Matthew Ashton — model probability 4.6%
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r29-leeds-rhinos-v-warrington-wolves

### Wigan Warriors v Wakefield Trinity
Sun, 27 Sept, 02:30 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Semi Finals
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 70.9% / Wakefield Trinity 29.1%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 70.9%
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity +13.5 — model probability 70.9%
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 70.9%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 36.5 — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 9 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r29-wigan-warriors-v-wakefield-trinity

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 70.7% | 135/191 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 59.7% | 114/191 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 26.2% | 50/191 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 61.8% | 118/191 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 35% | 226/645 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 6.9% | 28/407 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/play-off-eliminators (markdown: /super-league/round/play-off-eliminators.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/semi-finals
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-09-25 03:36 UTC (latest tip update)