# Super League Round 5 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr > Free AI Super League predictions for Round 5 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au). ## Round 5 at a glance - 7 matches · 16W–12L on 28 settled picks (57% strike rate) ## Round 5 predictions | Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result | |---|---|---|---| | Wigan Warriors v York Knights | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 79% | WON | | Toulouse Olympique v St Helens | St Helens | St Helens 52% | WON | | Wakefield Trinity v Leigh Leopards | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 66% | WON | | Bradford Bulls v Huddersfield Giants | Bradford Bulls | Bradford Bulls 80% | WON | | Warrington Wolves v Castleford Tigers | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 73% | WON | | Catalans Dragons v Hull KR | Hull KR | Hull KR 52% | LOST | | Hull v Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 68% | LOST | ## Match-by-match ### Wigan Warriors v York Knights Fri, 20 Mar, 07:00 am AEDT · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 78.7% / York Knights 21.3% - **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 78.7% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 78.7% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 13-24 — model probability 78.7% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 21 · Predicted total: 50 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r5-wigan-warriors-v-york-knights ### Toulouse Olympique v St Helens Sat, 21 Mar, 05:00 am AEDT · Stade Ernest Wallon · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Toulouse Olympique 47.9% / St Helens 52.1% - **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 52.1% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 52.1% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 52.1% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: St Helens by 2 · Predicted total: 45 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r5-toulouse-olympique-v-st-helens ### Wakefield Trinity v Leigh Leopards Sat, 21 Mar, 07:00 am AEDT · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 66.4% / Leigh Leopards 33.6% - **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 66.4% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — model probability 66.4% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 66.4% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 7 · Predicted total: 45 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r5-wakefield-trinity-v-leigh-leopards ### Bradford Bulls v Huddersfield Giants Sat, 21 Mar, 07:00 am AEDT · Bartercard Odsal Stadium · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Bradford Bulls 79.6% / Huddersfield Giants 20.4% - **Head to Head:** Bradford Bulls to win — model probability 79.6% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Bradford Bulls — model probability 79.6% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Bradford Bulls 1-12 — model probability 79.6% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Bradford Bulls by 9 · Predicted total: 43 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r5-bradford-bulls-v-huddersfield-giants ### Warrington Wolves v Castleford Tigers Sun, 22 Mar, 02:00 am AEDT · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 73.2% / Castleford Tigers 26.8% - **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 73.2% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves — model probability 73.2% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 73.2% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 6 · Predicted total: 48 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r5-warrington-wolves-v-castleford-tigers ### Catalans Dragons v Hull KR Sun, 22 Mar, 04:00 am AEDT · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 48.0% / Hull KR 52.0% - **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 52.0% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 52.0% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 52.0% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Hull KR by 2 · Predicted total: 43 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r5-catalans-dragons-v-hull-kr ### Hull v Leeds Rhinos Mon, 23 Mar, 02:00 am AEDT · MKM Stadium · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Hull 32.0% / Leeds Rhinos 68.0% - **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 68.0% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 68.0% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 68.0% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 8 · Predicted total: 41 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r5-hull-v-leeds-rhinos ## Model performance (2026) | Model | Market | Strike rate | Record | |---|---|---|---| | Head to Head | Win/Loss | 70.2% | 92/131 | | Spread / Line | Spread | 61.8% | 81/131 | | Margin Band | Margin Band | 31.3% | 41/131 | | Over/Under | Total Score | 62.6% | 82/131 | | Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 29.1% | 71/244 | | First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7.8% | 12/154 | ## More Super League predictions - Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/4 (markdown: /super-league/round/4.md) - Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/6 (markdown: /super-league/round/6.md) - All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md) --- Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/5 RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU). Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)