# Super League Round 4 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr > Free AI Super League predictions for Round 4 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au). ## Round 4 at a glance - 7 matches · 15W–13L on 28 settled picks (54% strike rate) ## Round 4 predictions | Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result | |---|---|---|---| | Wakefield Trinity v Hull | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 72% | WON | | York Knights v Warrington Wolves | York Knights | York Knights 65% | LOST | | Leigh Leopards v Catalans Dragons | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 70% | LOST | | Toulouse Olympique v Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 66% | WON | | St Helens v Bradford Bulls | St Helens | St Helens 71% | WON | | Leeds Rhinos v Castleford Tigers | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 81% | WON | | Huddersfield Giants v Hull KR | Huddersfield Giants | Huddersfield Giants 54% | LOST | ## Match-by-match ### Wakefield Trinity v Hull Fri, 06 Mar, 07:00 am AEDT · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 4 Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 72.0% / Hull 27.9% - **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 72.0% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — model probability 72.0% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 72.0% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 5 · Predicted total: 49 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r4-wakefield-trinity-v-hull ### York Knights v Warrington Wolves Sat, 07 Mar, 07:00 am AEDT · LNER Community Stadium · Round 4 Alphr AI win probability: York Knights 64.5% / Warrington Wolves 35.5% - **Head to Head:** York Knights to win — model probability 64.5% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** York Knights — model probability 64.5% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** York Knights 1-12 — model probability 64.5% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: York Knights by 4 · Predicted total: 42 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r4-york-knights-v-warrington-wolves ### Leigh Leopards v Catalans Dragons Sat, 07 Mar, 07:00 am AEDT · Leigh Sports Village Stadium · Round 4 Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 70.4% / Catalans Dragons 29.6% - **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 70.4% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — model probability 70.4% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 70.4% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 6 · Predicted total: 47 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r4-leigh-leopards-v-catalans-dragons ### Toulouse Olympique v Wigan Warriors Sun, 08 Mar, 04:00 am AEDT · Stade Ernest Wallon · Round 4 Alphr AI win probability: Toulouse Olympique 34.1% / Wigan Warriors 65.9% - **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 65.9% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 65.9% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 65.9% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 9 · Predicted total: 46 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r4-toulouse-olympique-v-wigan-warriors ### St Helens v Bradford Bulls Sun, 08 Mar, 04:00 am AEDT · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 4 Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 70.7% / Bradford Bulls 29.3% - **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 70.7% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 70.7% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 70.7% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: St Helens by 3 · Predicted total: 43 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r4-st-helens-v-bradford-bulls ### Leeds Rhinos v Castleford Tigers Mon, 09 Mar, 02:00 am AEDT · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 4 Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 81.0% / Castleford Tigers 19.0% - **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 81.0% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 81.0% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 13-24 — model probability 81.0% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 14 · Predicted total: 39 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r4-leeds-rhinos-v-castleford-tigers ### Huddersfield Giants v Hull KR Mon, 09 Mar, 02:00 am AEDT · The Accu Stadium · Round 4 Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 53.5% / Hull KR 46.5% - **Head to Head:** Huddersfield Giants to win — model probability 53.5% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants — model probability 53.5% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Huddersfield Giants 1-12 — model probability 53.5% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Huddersfield Giants by 1 · Predicted total: 45 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r4-huddersfield-giants-v-hull-kr ## Model performance (2026) | Model | Market | Strike rate | Record | |---|---|---|---| | Head to Head | Win/Loss | 70.2% | 92/131 | | Spread / Line | Spread | 61.8% | 81/131 | | Margin Band | Margin Band | 31.3% | 41/131 | | Over/Under | Total Score | 62.6% | 82/131 | | Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 29.1% | 71/244 | | First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7.8% | 12/154 | ## More Super League predictions - Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/3 (markdown: /super-league/round/3.md) - Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/5 (markdown: /super-league/round/5.md) - All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md) --- Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/4 RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU). Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)