# Super League Round 3 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 3 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 3 at a glance
- 7 matches · 16W–12L on 28 settled picks (57% strike rate)

## Round 3 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Warriors v Leigh Leopards | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 75% | WON |
| Castleford Tigers v Huddersfield Giants | Castleford Tigers | Castleford Tigers 62% | WON |
| Hull v York Knights | Hull FC | York Knights 65% | LOST |
| Hull KR v Leeds Rhinos | Hull KR | Hull KR 71% | LOST |
| Warrington Wolves v Wakefield Trinity | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 54% | WON |
| Catalans Dragons v St Helens | St Helens | St Helens 56% | WON |
| Bradford Bulls v Toulouse Olympique | Bradford Bulls | Bradford Bulls 73% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Wigan Warriors v Leigh Leopards
Fri, 27 Feb, 07:00 am AEDT · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 75.2% / Leigh Leopards 24.8%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 75.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 75.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 75.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 10 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r3-wigan-warriors-v-leigh-leopards

### Castleford Tigers v Huddersfield Giants
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:00 am AEDT · The OneBore Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 62.3% / Huddersfield Giants 37.7%
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 62.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants — model probability 62.3% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 62.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Huddersfield Giants by 6 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r3-castleford-tigers-v-huddersfield-giants

### Hull v York Knights
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:00 am AEDT · MKM Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Hull 34.9% / York Knights 65.1%
- **Head to Head:** Hull FC to win — model probability 34.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Hull — model probability 34.9% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Hull FC 1-12 — model probability 34.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull by 5 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r3-hull-v-york-knights

### Hull KR v Leeds Rhinos
Sun, 01 Mar, 03:00 am AEDT · Allegiant Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 70.7% / Leeds Rhinos 29.3%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 70.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 70.7% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 70.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 3 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r3-hull-kr-v-leeds-rhinos

### Warrington Wolves v Wakefield Trinity
Sun, 01 Mar, 04:00 am AEDT · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 53.5% / Wakefield Trinity 46.5%
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 53.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves — model probability 53.5% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 53.5% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 2 · Predicted total: 51
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r3-warrington-wolves-v-wakefield-trinity

### Catalans Dragons v St Helens
Sun, 01 Mar, 05:00 am AEDT · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 44.0% / St Helens 56.0%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 56.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 56.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 56.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 2 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r3-catalans-dragons-v-st-helens

### Bradford Bulls v Toulouse Olympique
Mon, 02 Mar, 02:00 am AEDT · Bartercard Odsal Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Bradford Bulls 73.2% / Toulouse Olympique 26.8%
- **Head to Head:** Bradford Bulls to win — model probability 73.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique — model probability 73.2% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Bradford Bulls 1-12 — model probability 73.2% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Toulouse Olympique by 4 · Predicted total: 28
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r3-bradford-bulls-v-toulouse-olympique

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 70.2% | 92/131 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 61.8% | 81/131 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 31.3% | 41/131 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 62.6% | 82/131 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 29.1% | 71/244 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7.8% | 12/154 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/2 (markdown: /super-league/round/2.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/4 (markdown: /super-league/round/4.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)