# Super League Round 26 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 26 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 26 at a glance
- 7 matches · 11W–17L on 28 settled picks (39% strike rate) · best value +20.3% edge

## Round 26 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford Bulls v Castleford Tigers | Castleford Tigers | Castleford Tigers 51% | LOST |
| Toulouse Olympique v Hull FC | Toulouse Olympique | Toulouse Olympique 60% | WON |
| Hull KR v Huddersfield Giants | Hull KR | Hull KR 62% | WON |
| Leigh Leopards v St Helens | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 73% | WON |
| Wakefield Trinity v Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 58% | LOST |
| Catalans Dragons v York Knights | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 62% | LOST |
| Leeds Rhinos v Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 59% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Bradford Bulls v Castleford Tigers
Fri, 04 Sept, 05:00 am AEST · Bartercard Odsal Stadium · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Bradford Bulls 48.8% / Castleford Tigers 51.2%
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 51.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +1.5 — model probability 51.2% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 51.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Castleford Tigers by 1 · Predicted total: 33
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r26-bradford-bulls-v-castleford-tigers

### Toulouse Olympique v Hull FC
Sat, 05 Sept, 03:00 am AEST · Stade Ernest Wallon · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Toulouse Olympique 60.4% / Hull FC 39.6%
- **Head to Head:** Toulouse Olympique to win — model probability 60.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique -6.5 — model probability 60.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Toulouse Olympique 1-12 — model probability 60.4% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Toulouse Olympique by 8 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r26-toulouse-olympique-v-hull-fc

### Hull KR v Huddersfield Giants
Sat, 05 Sept, 05:00 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 62.4% / Huddersfield Giants 37.6%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 62.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants +12.5 — model probability 62.4% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 62.4% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 8 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r26-hull-kr-v-huddersfield-giants

### Leigh Leopards v St Helens
Sat, 05 Sept, 05:00 am AEST · Leigh Sports Village Stadium · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 73.5% / St Helens 26.5%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 73.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens +14.5 — model probability 73.5% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 13-24 — model probability 73.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 13 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r26-leigh-leopards-v-st-helens

### Wakefield Trinity v Warrington Wolves
Sun, 06 Sept, 12:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 41.9% / Warrington Wolves 58.1%
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 58.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves +5.5 — model probability 58.1% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 58.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 42.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 11 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r26-wakefield-trinity-v-warrington-wolves

### Catalans Dragons v York Knights
Sun, 06 Sept, 04:00 am AEST · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 62.0% / York Knights 38.0%
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 62.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +13.5 — model probability 62.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 62.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 11 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r26-catalans-dragons-v-york-knights

### Leeds Rhinos v Wigan Warriors
Sun, 06 Sept, 05:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 41.2% / Wigan Warriors 58.8%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 58.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors +1.5 — model probability 58.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 58.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 34.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 1 · Predicted total: 37
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r26-leeds-rhinos-v-wigan-warriors

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 70.9% | 129/182 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 61% | 111/182 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 26.9% | 49/182 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 61% | 111/182 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 30.6% | 194/634 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 6.3% | 25/398 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/25 (markdown: /super-league/round/25.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/27 (markdown: /super-league/round/27.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-09-07 14:10 UTC (latest tip update)