# Super League Round 25 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 25 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 25 at a glance
- 7 matches · 13W–15L on 28 settled picks (46% strike rate) · best value +2.3% edge

## Round 25 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Warriors v Hull KR | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 66% | WON |
| Castleford Tigers v Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 53% | WON |
| St Helens v Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 65% | WON |
| Huddersfield Giants v Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 75% | LOST |
| Wakefield Trinity v York Knights | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 76% | WON |
| Hull FC v Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 62% | WON |
| Toulouse Olympique v Bradford Bulls | Toulouse Olympique | Toulouse Olympique 63% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Wigan Warriors v Hull KR
Fri, 28 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 65.9% / Hull KR 34.1%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 65.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR +41.5 — model probability 65.9% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 65.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 60.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 12 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r25-wigan-warriors-v-hull-kr

### Castleford Tigers v Catalans Dragons
Sat, 29 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 46.7% / Catalans Dragons 53.3%
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 53.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons +0.5 — model probability 53.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 53.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 5 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r25-castleford-tigers-v-catalans-dragons

### St Helens v Leeds Rhinos
Sat, 29 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 34.8% / Leeds Rhinos 65.2%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 65.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens +9.5 — model probability 65.2% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 65.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 42.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 8 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r25-st-helens-v-leeds-rhinos

### Huddersfield Giants v Leigh Leopards
Sat, 29 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · The Accu Stadium · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 24.9% / Leigh Leopards 75.1%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 75.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards -11.5 — model probability 75.1% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 13-24 — model probability 75.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 15 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r25-huddersfield-giants-v-leigh-leopards

### Wakefield Trinity v York Knights
Sun, 30 Aug, 02:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 76.3% / York Knights 23.7%
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 76.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +18.5 — model probability 76.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 76.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 8 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r25-wakefield-trinity-v-york-knights

### Hull FC v Warrington Wolves
Sun, 30 Aug, 02:00 am AEST · MKM Stadium · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Hull FC 38.1% / Warrington Wolves 61.9%
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 61.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves -6.5 — model probability 61.9% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 13-24 — model probability 61.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 20 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r25-hull-fc-v-warrington-wolves

### Toulouse Olympique v Bradford Bulls
Sun, 30 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · Stade Ernest Wallon · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Toulouse Olympique 62.6% / Bradford Bulls 37.4%
- **Head to Head:** Toulouse Olympique to win — model probability 62.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique -18.5 — model probability 62.6% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Toulouse Olympique 25+ — model probability 62.6% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Toulouse Olympique by 28 · Predicted total: 51
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r25-toulouse-olympique-v-bradford-bulls

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 70.1% | 136/194 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 59.8% | 116/194 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 25.8% | 50/194 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 61.9% | 120/194 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 34.9% | 231/661 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 29/417 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/24 (markdown: /super-league/round/24.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/26 (markdown: /super-league/round/26.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-10-09 23:55 UTC (latest tip update)