# Super League Round 24 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 24 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 24 at a glance
- 7 matches · 16W–12L on 28 settled picks (57% strike rate)

## Round 24 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Warriors v Wakefield Trinity | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 82% | WON |
| Leigh Leopards v Bradford Bulls | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 86% | WON |
| St Helens v Castleford Tigers | St Helens | St Helens 59% | WON |
| Hull KR v Toulouse Olympique | Hull KR | Hull KR 74% | LOST |
| Catalans Dragons v Hull FC | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 61% | LOST |
| Warrington Wolves v Huddersfield Giants | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 52% | WON |
| York Knights v Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 68% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Wigan Warriors v Wakefield Trinity
Sat, 22 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 81.6% / Wakefield Trinity 18.4%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 81.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity +18.5 — model probability 81.6% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 81.6% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 11 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-wigan-warriors-v-wakefield-trinity

### Leigh Leopards v Bradford Bulls
Sat, 22 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · Leigh Sports Village Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 86.5% / Bradford Bulls 13.5%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 86.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards -22.5 — model probability 86.5% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 25+ — model probability 86.5% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 41 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-leigh-leopards-v-bradford-bulls

### St Helens v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 23 Aug, 12:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 58.7% / Castleford Tigers 41.3%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 58.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +14.5 — model probability 58.7% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 58.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 5 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-st-helens-v-castleford-tigers

### Hull KR v Toulouse Olympique
Sun, 23 Aug, 02:00 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 74.0% / Toulouse Olympique 26.0%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 74.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +20.5 — model probability 74.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 74.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 6 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-hull-kr-v-toulouse-olympique

### Catalans Dragons v Hull FC
Sun, 23 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 61.2% / Hull FC 38.8%
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 61.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Hull FC +4.5 — model probability 61.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 61.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 1 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-catalans-dragons-v-hull-fc

### Warrington Wolves v Huddersfield Giants
Mon, 24 Aug, 12:00 am AEST · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 52.1% / Huddersfield Giants 47.9%
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 52.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants +14.5 — model probability 52.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 52.1% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 1 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-warrington-wolves-v-huddersfield-giants

### York Knights v Leeds Rhinos
Mon, 24 Aug, 12:00 am AEST · LNER Community Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: York Knights 31.9% / Leeds Rhinos 68.1%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 68.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos -16.5 — model probability 68.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 13-24 — model probability 68.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 24 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r24-york-knights-v-leeds-rhinos

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 69.9% | 135/193 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 59.6% | 115/193 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 25.9% | 50/193 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 61.7% | 119/193 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 34.8% | 227/653 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 6.8% | 28/412 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/23 (markdown: /super-league/round/23.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/25 (markdown: /super-league/round/25.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-10-03 10:58 UTC (latest tip update)