# Super League Round 22 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr > Free AI Super League predictions for Round 22 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au). ## Round 22 at a glance - 7 matches · 12W–16L on 28 settled picks (43% strike rate) · best value +12.0% edge ## Round 22 predictions | Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result | |---|---|---|---| | St Helens v Hull FC | St Helens | St Helens 63% | LOST | | Wakefield Trinity v Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 74% | WON | | Castleford Tigers v Hull KR | Hull KR | Hull KR 52% | WON | | Leigh Leopards v York Knights | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 81% | WON | | Huddersfield Giants v Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 53% | LOST | | Wigan Warriors v Toulouse Olympique | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 78% | WON | | Bradford Bulls v Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 65% | WON | ## Match-by-match ### St Helens v Hull FC Fri, 07 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 22 Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 63.1% / Hull FC 36.9% - **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 63.1% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Hull FC +9.5 — model probability 63.1% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 63.1% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: St Helens by 4 · Predicted total: 41 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r22-st-helens-v-hull-fc ### Wakefield Trinity v Leeds Rhinos Sat, 08 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 22 Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 25.9% / Leeds Rhinos 74.1% - **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 74.1% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos -3.5 — model probability 74.1% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 74.1% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Under 42.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 9 · Predicted total: 35 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r22-wakefield-trinity-v-leeds-rhinos ### Castleford Tigers v Hull KR Sat, 08 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 22 Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 48.0% / Hull KR 52.0% - **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 52.0% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +17.5 — model probability 52.0% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 52.0% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Hull KR by 9 · Predicted total: 45 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r22-castleford-tigers-v-hull-kr ### Leigh Leopards v York Knights Sat, 08 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · Leigh Sports Village Stadium · Round 22 Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 81.3% / York Knights 18.7% - **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 81.3% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** York Knights +22.5 — model probability 81.3% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 13-24 — model probability 81.3% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 15 · Predicted total: 40 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r22-leigh-leopards-v-york-knights ### Huddersfield Giants v Catalans Dragons Sat, 08 Aug, 11:00 pm AEST · The Accu Stadium · Round 22 Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 46.9% / Catalans Dragons 53.1% - **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 53.1% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons +1.5 — model probability 53.1% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 53.1% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 7 · Predicted total: 40 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r22-huddersfield-giants-v-catalans-dragons ### Wigan Warriors v Toulouse Olympique Sun, 09 Aug, 02:30 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 22 Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 77.9% / Toulouse Olympique 22.1% - **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 77.9% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +33.5 — model probability 77.9% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 13-24 — model probability 77.9% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under 56.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 20 · Predicted total: 43 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r22-wigan-warriors-v-toulouse-olympique ### Bradford Bulls v Warrington Wolves Sun, 09 Aug, 03:30 am AEST · Bartercard Odsal Stadium · Round 22 Alphr AI win probability: Bradford Bulls 35.0% / Warrington Wolves 65.0% - **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 65.0% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves -14.5 — model probability 65.0% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 13-24 — model probability 65.0% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over 46.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 24 · Predicted total: 48 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r22-bradford-bulls-v-warrington-wolves ## Model performance (2026) | Model | Market | Strike rate | Record | |---|---|---|---| | Head to Head | Win/Loss | 69.9% | 107/153 | | Spread / Line | Spread | 60.8% | 93/153 | | Margin Band | Margin Band | 28.8% | 44/153 | | Over/Under | Total Score | 60.8% | 93/153 | | Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 31.2% | 129/414 | | First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 6.9% | 18/260 | ## More Super League predictions - Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/21 (markdown: /super-league/round/21.md) - Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/23 (markdown: /super-league/round/23.md) - All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md) --- Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/22 RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU). Last updated: 2026-08-10 16:52 UTC (latest tip update)