# Super League Round 17 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 17 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 17 at a glance
- 7 matches · 12W–16L on 28 settled picks (43% strike rate) · best value +50.5% edge

## Round 17 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Giants v York Knights | Huddersfield Giants | Huddersfield Giants 52% | LOST |
| Hull KR v Hull | Hull KR | Hull KR 70% | WON |
| Leigh Leopards v Warrington Wolves | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 59% | WON |
| Catalans Dragons v Toulouse Olympique | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 64% | LOST |
| Wakefield Trinity v Castleford Tigers | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 51% | WON |
| Leeds Rhinos v Bradford Bulls | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 72% | WON |
| Wigan Warriors v St Helens | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 53% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Huddersfield Giants v York Knights
Sat, 04 July, 09:30 pm AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 51.6% / York Knights 48.4%
- **Head to Head:** Huddersfield Giants to win — model probability 51.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +8.5 — model probability 51.6% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Huddersfield Giants 1-12 — model probability 51.6% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: York Knights by 1 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-huddersfield-giants-v-york-knights

### Hull KR v Hull
Sun, 05 July, 12:00 am AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 70.2% / Hull 29.8%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 70.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull +17.5 — model probability 70.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 70.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 10 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-hull-kr-v-hull

### Leigh Leopards v Warrington Wolves
Sun, 05 July, 02:30 am AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 58.9% / Warrington Wolves 41.1%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 58.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves +7.5 — model probability 58.9% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 58.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 2 · Predicted total: 37
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-leigh-leopards-v-warrington-wolves

### Catalans Dragons v Toulouse Olympique
Sun, 05 July, 06:00 am AEST · Stade Pierre-Fabre, Castres · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 64.1% / Toulouse Olympique 35.9%
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 64.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +12.5 — model probability 64.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 64.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 6 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-catalans-dragons-v-toulouse-olympique

### Wakefield Trinity v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 05 July, 09:30 pm AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 50.6% / Castleford Tigers 49.4%
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 50.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers +14.5 — model probability 50.6% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 50.6% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 3 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-wakefield-trinity-v-castleford-tigers

### Leeds Rhinos v Bradford Bulls
Mon, 06 July, 12:00 am AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 72.0% / Bradford Bulls 28.0%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 72.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bradford Bulls +26.5 — model probability 72.0% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 72.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 55.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 11 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-leeds-rhinos-v-bradford-bulls

### Wigan Warriors v St Helens
Mon, 06 July, 02:30 am AEST · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 52.7% / St Helens 47.3%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 52.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens +12.5 — model probability 52.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 52.7% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 0 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r17-wigan-warriors-v-st-helens

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 69.7% | 92/132 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 62.1% | 82/132 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 31.1% | 41/132 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 62.1% | 82/132 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 29.8% | 75/252 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7.5% | 12/159 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/16 (markdown: /super-league/round/16.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/18 (markdown: /super-league/round/18.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-20 15:45 UTC (latest tip update)