# Super League Round 16 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 16 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 16 at a glance
- 7 matches · 18W–10L on 28 settled picks (64% strike rate) · best value +54.5% edge

## Round 16 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warrington Wolves v Catalans Dragons | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 73% | WON |
| Leeds Rhinos v Hull KR | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 65% | WON |
| Castleford Tigers v York Knights | Castleford Tigers | Castleford Tigers 56% | LOST |
| Hull v Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 79% | WON |
| Toulouse Olympique v Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 72% | WON |
| Bradford Bulls v St Helens | St Helens | St Helens 63% | WON |
| Wakefield Trinity v Huddersfield Giants | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 87% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Warrington Wolves v Catalans Dragons
Fri, 26 June, 05:00 am AEST · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 72.8% / Catalans Dragons 27.2%
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 72.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons +10.5 — model probability 72.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 72.8% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 3 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-warrington-wolves-v-catalans-dragons

### Leeds Rhinos v Hull KR
Sat, 27 June, 05:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 65.0% / Hull KR 35.0%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 65.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR +6.5 — model probability 65.0% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 65.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 1 · Predicted total: 35
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-leeds-rhinos-v-hull-kr

### Castleford Tigers v York Knights
Sat, 27 June, 05:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 56.1% / York Knights 43.9%
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 56.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +16.5 — model probability 56.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 56.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Castleford Tigers by 1 · Predicted total: 37
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-castleford-tigers-v-york-knights

### Hull v Wigan Warriors
Sun, 28 June, 12:00 am AEST · MKM Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Hull 20.7% / Wigan Warriors 79.3%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 79.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull +25.5 — model probability 79.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 79.3% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 56.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 7 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-hull-v-wigan-warriors

### Toulouse Olympique v Leigh Leopards
Sun, 28 June, 01:00 am AEST · Stade Ernest Wallon · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Toulouse Olympique 27.9% / Leigh Leopards 72.1%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 72.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +16.5 — model probability 72.1% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 72.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 11 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-toulouse-olympique-v-leigh-leopards

### Bradford Bulls v St Helens
Sun, 28 June, 05:00 am AEST · Bartercard Odsal Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Bradford Bulls 36.7% / St Helens 63.3%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 63.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bradford Bulls +10.5 — model probability 63.3% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 63.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 7 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-bradford-bulls-v-st-helens

### Wakefield Trinity v Huddersfield Giants
Mon, 29 June, 12:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 87.4% / Huddersfield Giants 12.6%
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 87.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants +18.5 — model probability 87.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 13-24 — model probability 87.4% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 55.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 17 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r16-wakefield-trinity-v-huddersfield-giants

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 69.8% | 88/126 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 62.7% | 79/126 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 30.2% | 38/126 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 61.9% | 78/126 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 30.4% | 62/204 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 8.5% | 11/129 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/15 (markdown: /super-league/round/15.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/17 (markdown: /super-league/round/17.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/16
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-16 23:13 UTC (latest tip update)