# Super League Round 15 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 15 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 15 at a glance
- 7 matches · 16W–12L on 28 settled picks (57% strike rate) · best value +24.1% edge

## Round 15 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warrington Wolves v Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 71% | WON |
| Hull KR v Leigh Leopards | Hull KR | Hull KR 83% | WON |
| Hull v Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 81% | WON |
| York Knights v Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 66% | WON |
| Catalans Dragons v Bradford Bulls | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 54% | WON |
| Castleford Tigers v Toulouse Olympique | Castleford Tigers | Castleford Tigers 57% | WON |
| St Helens v Huddersfield Giants | St Helens | St Helens 77% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Warrington Wolves v Leeds Rhinos
Fri, 19 June, 05:00 am AEST · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 29.0% / Leeds Rhinos 71.0%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 71.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos +1.5 — model probability 71.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 71.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 42.5 — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 4 · Predicted total: 34
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r15-warrington-wolves-v-leeds-rhinos

### Hull KR v Leigh Leopards
Sat, 20 June, 05:00 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 82.8% / Leigh Leopards 17.2%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 82.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards +10.5 — model probability 82.8% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 82.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 5 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r15-hull-kr-v-leigh-leopards

### Hull v Wakefield Trinity
Sat, 20 June, 05:00 am AEST · MKM Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Hull 18.8% / Wakefield Trinity 81.2%
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 81.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity -1.5 — model probability 81.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 81.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 3 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r15-hull-v-wakefield-trinity

### York Knights v Wigan Warriors
Sun, 21 June, 12:00 am AEST · LNER Community Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: York Knights 34.3% / Wigan Warriors 65.8%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 65.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** York Knights +30.5 — model probability 65.8% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 65.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 11 · Predicted total: 51
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r15-york-knights-v-wigan-warriors

### Catalans Dragons v Bradford Bulls
Sun, 21 June, 03:00 am AEST · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 54.3% / Bradford Bulls 45.7%
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 54.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bradford Bulls +12.5 — model probability 54.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 54.3% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 4 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r15-catalans-dragons-v-bradford-bulls

### Castleford Tigers v Toulouse Olympique
Sun, 21 June, 05:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 56.8% / Toulouse Olympique 43.3%
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 56.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Toulouse Olympique +12.5 — model probability 56.8% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 56.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Toulouse Olympique by 2 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r15-castleford-tigers-v-toulouse-olympique

### St Helens v Huddersfield Giants
Mon, 22 June, 12:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 76.6% / Huddersfield Giants 23.4%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 76.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants +20.5 — model probability 76.6% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 13-24 — model probability 76.6% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 19 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r15-st-helens-v-huddersfield-giants

## Model performance (2026)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 69.3% | 97/140 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.7% | 85/140 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 29.3% | 41/140 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 62.9% | 88/140 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 30% | 93/310 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7.2% | 14/195 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/14 (markdown: /super-league/round/14.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/16 (markdown: /super-league/round/16.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-31 10:02 UTC (latest tip update)