# Super League Round 11 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr > Free AI Super League predictions for Round 11 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au). ## Round 11 at a glance - 7 matches · 14W–14L on 28 settled picks (50% strike rate) ## Round 11 predictions | Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result | |---|---|---|---| | Huddersfield Giants v St Helens | St Helens | St Helens 67% | WON | | Wigan Warriors v Leeds Rhinos | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 60% | WON | | Wakefield Trinity v Catalans Dragons | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 82% | WON | | York Knights v Castleford Tigers | York Knights | York Knights 70% | LOST | | Leigh Leopards v Hull KR | Hull KR | Hull KR 55% | WON | | Toulouse Olympique v Warrington Wolves | Toulouse Olympique | Toulouse Olympique 52% | LOST | | Bradford Bulls v Hull | Bradford Bulls | Bradford Bulls 60% | WON | ## Match-by-match ### Huddersfield Giants v St Helens Fri, 15 May, 05:00 am AEST · The Accu Stadium · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 32.8% / St Helens 67.2% - **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 67.2% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 67.2% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 67.2% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: St Helens by 5 · Predicted total: 38 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r11-huddersfield-giants-v-st-helens ### Wigan Warriors v Leeds Rhinos Sat, 16 May, 05:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 59.8% / Leeds Rhinos 40.2% - **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 59.8% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 59.8% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 59.8% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 1 · Predicted total: 42 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r11-wigan-warriors-v-leeds-rhinos ### Wakefield Trinity v Catalans Dragons Sat, 16 May, 05:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 81.7% / Catalans Dragons 18.3% - **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 81.7% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — model probability 81.7% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 81.7% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 10 · Predicted total: 40 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r11-wakefield-trinity-v-catalans-dragons ### York Knights v Castleford Tigers Sun, 17 May, 12:00 am AEST · LNER Community Stadium · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: York Knights 69.6% / Castleford Tigers 30.4% - **Head to Head:** York Knights to win — model probability 69.6% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** York Knights — model probability 69.6% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** York Knights 1-12 — model probability 69.6% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: York Knights by 5 · Predicted total: 40 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r11-york-knights-v-castleford-tigers ### Leigh Leopards v Hull KR Sun, 17 May, 02:00 am AEST · Leigh Sports Village Stadium · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 45.0% / Hull KR 55.0% - **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 55.0% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 55.0% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 55.0% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Hull KR by 5 · Predicted total: 36 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r11-leigh-leopards-v-hull-kr ### Toulouse Olympique v Warrington Wolves Sun, 17 May, 02:00 am AEST · Stade Michel Bendichou · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Toulouse Olympique 51.6% / Warrington Wolves 48.4% - **Head to Head:** Toulouse Olympique to win — model probability 51.6% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves — model probability 51.6% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Toulouse Olympique 1-12 — model probability 51.6% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 5 · Predicted total: 47 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r11-toulouse-olympique-v-warrington-wolves ### Bradford Bulls v Hull Mon, 18 May, 12:00 am AEST · Bartercard Odsal Stadium · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Bradford Bulls 60.5% / Hull 39.5% - **Head to Head:** Bradford Bulls to win — model probability 60.5% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Bradford Bulls — model probability 60.5% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Bradford Bulls 1-12 — model probability 60.5% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Bradford Bulls by 1 · Predicted total: 44 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r11-bradford-bulls-v-hull ## Model performance (2026) | Model | Market | Strike rate | Record | |---|---|---|---| | Head to Head | Win/Loss | 70.2% | 92/131 | | Spread / Line | Spread | 61.8% | 81/131 | | Margin Band | Margin Band | 31.3% | 41/131 | | Over/Under | Total Score | 62.6% | 82/131 | | Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 29.1% | 71/244 | | First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7.8% | 12/154 | ## More Super League predictions - Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/10 (markdown: /super-league/round/10.md) - Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/12 (markdown: /super-league/round/12.md) - All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md) --- Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/11 RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU). Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)