# Super League Round 10 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr > Free AI Super League predictions for Round 10 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au). ## Round 10 at a glance - 7 matches · 15W–13L on 28 settled picks (54% strike rate) ## Round 10 predictions | Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result | |---|---|---|---| | Hull KR v Castleford Tigers | Hull KR | Hull KR 82% | WON | | Leeds Rhinos v Wakefield Trinity | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 78% | WON | | St Helens v York Knights | St Helens | St Helens 76% | WON | | Wigan Warriors v Bradford Bulls | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 80% | WON | | Catalans Dragons v Leigh Leopards | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 52% | LOST | | Huddersfield Giants v Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants | Huddersfield Giants 65% | LOST | | Hull v Toulouse Olympique | Hull FC | Toulouse Olympique 73% | LOST | ## Match-by-match ### Hull KR v Castleford Tigers Fri, 01 May, 05:00 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 10 Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 82.0% / Castleford Tigers 18.0% - **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 82.0% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 82.0% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Hull KR 13-24 — model probability 82.0% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Hull KR by 19 · Predicted total: 41 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r10-hull-kr-v-castleford-tigers ### Leeds Rhinos v Wakefield Trinity Sat, 02 May, 05:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 10 Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 78.1% / Wakefield Trinity 21.9% - **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 78.1% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 78.1% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 13-24 — model probability 78.1% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 15 · Predicted total: 44 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r10-leeds-rhinos-v-wakefield-trinity ### St Helens v York Knights Sat, 02 May, 05:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 10 Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 76.2% / York Knights 23.8% - **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 76.2% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 76.2% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 76.2% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: St Helens by 8 · Predicted total: 54 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r10-st-helens-v-york-knights ### Wigan Warriors v Bradford Bulls Sun, 03 May, 12:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 10 Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 79.8% / Bradford Bulls 20.2% - **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 79.8% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 79.8% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 79.8% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 10 · Predicted total: 49 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r10-wigan-warriors-v-bradford-bulls ### Catalans Dragons v Leigh Leopards Sun, 03 May, 03:00 am AEST · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 10 Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 52.0% / Leigh Leopards 48.0% - **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 52.0% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — model probability 52.0% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 52.0% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 7 · Predicted total: 41 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r10-catalans-dragons-v-leigh-leopards ### Huddersfield Giants v Warrington Wolves Sun, 03 May, 05:00 am AEST · The Accu Stadium · Round 10 Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 65.5% / Warrington Wolves 34.5% - **Head to Head:** Huddersfield Giants to win — model probability 65.5% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants — model probability 65.5% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Huddersfield Giants 1-12 — model probability 65.5% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Huddersfield Giants by 1 · Predicted total: 45 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r10-huddersfield-giants-v-warrington-wolves ### Hull v Toulouse Olympique Mon, 04 May, 12:00 am AEST · MKM Stadium · Round 10 Alphr AI win probability: Hull 26.6% / Toulouse Olympique 73.4% - **Head to Head:** Hull FC to win — model probability 26.6% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Hull — model probability 26.6% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Hull FC 1-12 — model probability 26.6% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Hull by 11 · Predicted total: 47 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r10-hull-v-toulouse-olympique ## Model performance (2026) | Model | Market | Strike rate | Record | |---|---|---|---| | Head to Head | Win/Loss | 70.2% | 92/131 | | Spread / Line | Spread | 61.8% | 81/131 | | Margin Band | Margin Band | 31.3% | 41/131 | | Over/Under | Total Score | 62.6% | 82/131 | | Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 29.1% | 71/244 | | First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7.8% | 12/154 | ## More Super League predictions - Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/9 (markdown: /super-league/round/9.md) - Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/11 (markdown: /super-league/round/11.md) - All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md) --- Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/10 RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU). Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)