# Super League Round 1 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr > Free AI Super League predictions for Round 1 of the 2026 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au). ## Round 1 at a glance - 7 matches · 11W–17L on 28 settled picks (39% strike rate) ## Round 1 predictions | Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result | |---|---|---|---| | York Knights v Hull KR | Hull KR | Hull KR 59% | LOST | | Catalans Dragons v Huddersfield Giants | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 60% | WON | | Warrington Wolves v St Helens | St Helens | St Helens 61% | LOST | | Leigh Leopards v Leeds Rhinos | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 75% | WON | | Hull v Bradford Bulls | Hull FC | Bradford Bulls 78% | LOST | | Wakefield Trinity v Toulouse Olympique | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 77% | LOST | | Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 68% | WON | ## Match-by-match ### York Knights v Hull KR Fri, 13 Feb, 07:00 am AEDT · LNER Community Stadium · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: York Knights 40.8% / Hull KR 59.2% - **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 59.2% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 59.2% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 59.2% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Hull KR by 8 · Predicted total: 51 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r1-york-knights-v-hull-kr ### Catalans Dragons v Huddersfield Giants Sat, 14 Feb, 05:00 am AEDT · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 60.2% / Huddersfield Giants 39.8% - **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 60.2% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants — model probability 60.2% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 60.2% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Huddersfield Giants by 3 · Predicted total: 34 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r1-catalans-dragons-v-huddersfield-giants ### Warrington Wolves v St Helens Sat, 14 Feb, 07:00 am AEDT · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 39.4% / St Helens 60.6% - **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 60.6% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 60.6% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 60.6% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: St Helens by 3 · Predicted total: 49 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r1-warrington-wolves-v-st-helens ### Leigh Leopards v Leeds Rhinos Sat, 14 Feb, 07:00 am AEDT · Leigh Sports Village Stadium · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 75.3% / Leeds Rhinos 24.7% - **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 75.3% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — model probability 75.3% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 75.3% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 7 · Predicted total: 39 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r1-leigh-leopards-v-leeds-rhinos ### Hull v Bradford Bulls Sun, 15 Feb, 04:00 am AEDT · MKM Stadium · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Hull 21.6% / Bradford Bulls 78.4% - **Head to Head:** Hull FC to win — model probability 21.6% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Hull — model probability 21.6% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Hull FC 1-12 — model probability 21.6% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Hull by 5 · Predicted total: 38 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r1-hull-v-bradford-bulls ### Wakefield Trinity v Toulouse Olympique Sun, 15 Feb, 07:00 am AEDT · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 77.3% / Toulouse Olympique 22.7% - **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 77.3% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — model probability 77.3% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 13-24 — model probability 77.3% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 13 · Predicted total: 38 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r1-wakefield-trinity-v-toulouse-olympique ### Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors Mon, 16 Feb, 02:00 am AEDT · The OneBore Stadium · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 32.5% / Wigan Warriors 67.5% - **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 67.5% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 67.5% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 13-24 — model probability 67.5% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 15 · Predicted total: 44 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r1-castleford-tigers-v-wigan-warriors ## Model performance (2026) | Model | Market | Strike rate | Record | |---|---|---|---| | Head to Head | Win/Loss | 70.2% | 92/131 | | Spread / Line | Spread | 61.8% | 81/131 | | Margin Band | Margin Band | 31.3% | 41/131 | | Over/Under | Total Score | 62.6% | 82/131 | | Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 29.1% | 71/244 | | First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7.8% | 12/154 | ## More Super League predictions - Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/2 (markdown: /super-league/round/2.md) - All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md) --- Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/1 RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU). Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)