Warrington Wolves
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
66%
Wigan Warriors
34%
AI Match Overview
Warrington Wolves are clear favourites here at 66%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wigan Warriors. The model sees Warrington Wolves ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including Backline Quality, Recent Win Rate and Halves Control. Wigan Warriors carry a 82-point ELO rating advantage (1602 vs 1520). Recent form favours Warrington Wolves with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Wigan Warriors. The margin model predicts Warrington Wolves by 12.8 points with a combined total of 52.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Warrington Wolves to Win @1.51
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Warrington Wolves +12.8 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Warrington Wolves 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | R4W R5W R6L R7W R8L older → newer | 39.2 |
Wigan Warriors | R4W R5W R6L R7L R8L | 22.6 |
Avg Conceded
21.2
Warrington Wolves
26.0
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
18.0
Warrington Wolves
-3.4
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
1358
Warrington Wolves
1196
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
7.8
Warrington Wolves
4.6
Wigan Warriors
ELO–Market Disagreement
Wigan Warriors hold the ELO advantage (1602 vs 1520), but the market favours Warrington Wolves (@1.51).
The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
66%
Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 13 points
Predicted total: 52 · Line: +12.8