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Super League | Round 9

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LEIGH SPORTS VILLAGE STADIUM • THURSDAY 23 APR, 10:00 AM AEST
Full Time
LEI

Leigh Leopards

3016
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

✅ Model correct — backed Leigh Leopards at 72%

AI Win Probability

72%Leigh LeopardsFavourite

Leigh Leopards

72%

Huddersfield Giants

28%

AI Match Overview

Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 72%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Venue Advantage. Leigh Leopards carry a 116-point ELO rating advantage (1490 vs 1374).

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Leigh Leopards to Win @1.38

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Line / Spread

Leigh Leopards +0.3 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Leigh Leopards Draw @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Leigh Leopards
R4L
R5L
R6W
R7L
R8W

older → newer

15.0
Huddersfield Giants
R4L
R5L
R6W
R7W
R8L
22.0

Avg Conceded

21.6

Leigh Leopards

28.8

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

-6.6

Leigh Leopards

-6.8

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

1216

Leigh Leopards

1212

Huddersfield Giants

Clean Breaks

4.0

Leigh Leopards

4.6

Huddersfield Giants

H2H History (Last 5)Leigh Leopards lead 5-0
Sep 2025LEI 30 - 16 HUD
Jun 2025LEI 28 - 24 HUD
Mar 2025LEI 24 - 10 HUD
Feb 2024LEI 16 - 10 HUD
Jul 2024LEI 20 - 16 HUD
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

LEI
1490Overall1374
HUD
ELO difference: +116 in favour of Leigh Leopards

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

1004Forwards793
Best: 1268LEI +211Best: 1024
798Backs880
Best: 918HUD +82Best: 1054
857Halves929
Best: 857HUD +71Best: 929
600Hooker1026
HUD +426

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

LEI
Stat
HUD
2.0
Wins (Last 5)
2.0
15.0pts
Avg Score
22.0pts
21.6pts
Avg Conceded
28.8pts
-6.6pts
Avg Margin
-6.8pts
1216.2m
Run Metres
1212.2m
4.0
Clean Breaks
4.6
349.8
Tackles
303.6
8.6
Errors
8.6

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Leopards
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Leopards
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Giants
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
Leopards
7
H2H History6.0%
Leopards

Model Confidence

72%

Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 0 points

Predicted total: 41 · Line: +0.3

3/4 match predictions correct