Leeds Rhinos
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
84%
Catalans Dragons
16%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 84%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leeds Rhinos carry a 167-point ELO rating advantage (1681 vs 1514). The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 15.5 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.19
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +15.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R4W R5L R6W R7W R8W older → newer | 28.8 |
Catalans Dragons | R4W R5W R6L R7W R8W | 27.8 |
Avg Conceded
16.8
Leeds Rhinos
21.6
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
12.0
Leeds Rhinos
6.2
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
1370
Leeds Rhinos
1269
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
5.4
Leeds Rhinos
5.0
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
84%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 16 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: +15.5