York Knights
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
York Knights
68%
Leigh Leopards
32%
AI Match Overview
York Knights are clear favourites here at 68%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leigh Leopards. The model sees York Knights ahead on 3 of 7 key factors including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Halves Control. Leigh Leopards carry a 68-point ELO rating advantage (1466 vs 1398). The margin model predicts York Knights by 1.0 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
York Knights to Win @1.47
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
York Knights +1 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
York Knights Draw @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
York Knights | R3W R4L R5L R6L R7L older → newer | 19.4 |
Leigh Leopards | R3L R4L R5L R6W R7L | 11.4 |
Avg Conceded
27.4
York Knights
31.2
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
-8.0
York Knights
-19.8
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1285
York Knights
1063
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
4.2
York Knights
3.4
Leigh Leopards
ELO–Market Disagreement
Leigh Leopards hold the ELO advantage (1466 vs 1398), but the market favours York Knights (@1.47).
The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
68%
York Knights predicted to win by 1 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: +1.0