# Wakefield Trinity v Bradford Bulls — Super League Round 8 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Wakefield Trinity 52 – 12 Bradford Bulls

_Wakefield Trinity run riot over Bradford Bulls._

Half time: 24 – 0 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Wakefield Trinity 84% / Bradford Bulls 16% · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Sun, 19 Apr, 12:00 am AEST

**Try Scorers** — Wakefield Trinity: Tom Johnstone (1' 1st), Tom Johnstone (7' 1st), Tom Johnstone (17' 1st), Cameron Scott (23'), Josh Rourke (34'), Oliver Pratt (48'), Seth Nikotemo (52'), Oliver Pratt (61'), Oliver Pratt (68'), Tom Johnstone (73' 1st) · Bradford Bulls: Zac Fulton (45'), Eliot Peposhi (66')

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Wakefield Trinity | 84% | Won |
| Bradford Bulls | 16% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 14.7 predicted → 40 actual · Markets hit: 1/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Wakefield Trinity vs Bradford Bulls Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 8 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 20 June 2026, 08:12 pm_

Wakefield Trinity 52–12 Bradford Bulls in Super League Round 8 at The Diy Kitchens Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Wakefield Trinity had this one shut down before Bradford Bulls had touched the ball in anger. Four tries and 24 points to nothing by half-time is not a gap you claw back, it is a gap you spend the second half hoping doesn't get worse. It got worse. Final score: Wakefield Trinity 52, Bradford Bulls 12.

The damage was done early and it was done fast. Tom Johnstone opened the scoring inside the first minute, was back for a second by the 7th, and had his third by the 17th. Cameron Scott and Josh Rourke added tries either side of the 30-minute mark and by the break Bradford Bulls hadn't so much as troubled the scoreboard. Zac Fulton finally got the Bulls off the mark just after half-time, but Wakefield Trinity answered within three minutes through Oliver Pratt and never slowed down, Seth Nikotemo, two more from Pratt and a fourth Johnstone try in the 73rd turning a big win into a rout.

The stat sheet backs up everything the scoreboard already screamed. Wakefield Trinity ran for 1,528 metres to Bradford Bulls' 824, nearly double, and broke the line 12 times to Bradford's 2. Twenty-four tackle busts against 18 isn't the widest gap on the page, but paired with 21 offloads to Bradford's 5, it tells you Wakefield Trinity kept the ball alive and kept finding space that Bradford Bulls simply didn't have the go-forward to create for themselves.

Bradford Bulls were, oddly, the tidier side with the football, 9 errors to Wakefield Trinity's 12. Doesn't mean much when you're conceding 11 penalties to 5 and getting beaten up for metres everywhere else on the field. Clean hands with no go-forward is a nice stat for the file, not much use on the scoreboard.

Individually this was Oliver Pratt and Tom Johnstone doing the heavy lifting, three tries and four tries respectively, with Jack Sinfield's boot going 6 from 6 to keep the points ticking over. For Bradford Bulls, Zac Fulton and Eliot Peposhi got their names on the sheet, but two tries against ten was never going to be a contest.

Pre-match, the form lines actually had these two closer than the final margin suggests, Wakefield Trinity's four wins from five against Bradford's two, and an average winning margin of 8.6 points against Bradford's minus-0.8. The forward and back pack ratings favoured Wakefield Trinity clearly enough, 1008 to 720 up front and 1094 to 946 out wide, and that gap showed up in the run metres and line breaks all match. Bradford's edge in the halves and at hooker never got the chance to matter, because their forwards couldn't get them any front-foot ball to work with.

Alphr's model had Wakefield Trinity favourites at 84% and picked the right side comfortably. The margin was where it came unstuck, tipped at 14.7 points on a combined total of 48, when the actual gap was 40 points from a 64-point game. Wins and misses, all of it. Got the winner, missed the size of it by a distance.

**Key Match Stats**

| Wakefield Trinity | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| **1,528** | Run metres | 824 |
| **12** | Line breaks | 2 |
| **24** | Tackle busts | 18 |
| **21** | Offloads | 5 |
| 12 | Errors | **9** |
| **5** | Penalties conceded | 11 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Wakefield Trinity | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tries | 2 |
| 6/10 | Goals | 2/2 |
| 5 | Penalties Conceded | 11 |
| 12 | Errors | 9 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Wakefield Trinity to win at 84% probability. The margin model missed here, predicting 14.7 but the actual margin was 40 points. The game's 64 points came in 16 points higher than the predicted 48. Wakefield Trinity led 24–0 at the break and pulled away in the second half to win by 40. The model went 1/2 on this match.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (31/100) — penalties Wakefield Trinity 5 · Bradford Bulls 11.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 84.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 13-24 — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 15 · Predicted total: 48

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

The model is firm on Wakefield Trinity here: 84% to see off Bradford Bulls. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Wakefield Trinity sit 108 ELO points clear, 1571 to 1464. Form leans Wakefield Trinity's way: 4 from their last 5, against 2 for Bradford Bulls.

Wakefield Trinity own the matchup too, leading 5 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. The margin model has Wakefield Trinity by 14.7, with the two sides combining for about 48. Wakefield Trinity to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Wakefield Trinity | Stat | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 21.6pts | Avg Score | 21.2pts |
| 13.0pts | Avg Conceded | 22.0pts |
| 8.6pts | Avg Margin | -0.8pts |
| 1309.0m | Run Metres | 1178.6m |
| 4.8 | Clean Breaks | 4.0 |
| 362.8 | Tackles | 350.2 |
| 10.0 | Errors | 9.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Wakefield Trinity | R3 L · R4 W · R5 W · R6 W · R7 W | 21.6 |
| Bradford Bulls | R3 W · R4 L · R5 W · R6 L · R7 L | 21.2 |

### H2H History (Last 1) — Wakefield Trinity lead 1-0

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R19 | Bradford Bulls | 12 – 26 | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 68% ✓ |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in the one decided meeting it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (14 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Wakefield Trinity's best path is the right edge: Super League's 3rd-ranked right edge attack (1.71 tries/game) runs at a Bradford Bulls defence ranked 7th there (1.14 conceded/game). Key man: Pratt, 5 tries in that channel this season.
- Bradford Bulls' best path is the left edge: Super League's 2nd-ranked left edge attack (1.57 tries/game) runs at a Wakefield Trinity defence ranked 8th there (0.86 conceded/game). Key man: Blake, 5 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Wakefield Trinity | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 1.29/g (att 4th (strong)) · concedes 0.86/g (def 8th) | 1.57/g (att 2nd (strong)) · concedes 0.71/g (def 6th) |
| Middle | 1/g (att 13th (weak)) · concedes 1.14/g (def 2nd (strong)) | 1.14/g (att 10th) · concedes 1.71/g (def 6th) |
| Right | 1.71/g (att 3rd (strong)) · concedes 0.71/g (def 4th (strong)) | 1/g (att 6th) · concedes 1.14/g (def 7th) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Wakefield Trinity | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 6th | 5th (strong) |
| Defence rank | 1st (strong) | 2nd (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 3 · 0 | 5 · 1 |
| Try Assists | 1.7/g | 1.3/g |
| Run Metres | 138m/g | 177m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 4.7/g | 5.1/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.7/g | 1/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 92.7% | 91.3% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Wakefield Trinity | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 2nd (strong) | 3rd (strong) |
| Defence rank | 7th | 2nd (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 21 · 15 | 19 · 10 |
| Try Assists | 1.3/g | 1/g |
| Run Metres | 492m/g | 546m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 11.6/g | 15.4/g |
| Line Breaks | 3.6/g | 2.3/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 83.7% | 82% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Wakefield Trinity | Bradford Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 10th | 10th |
| Defence rank | 1st (strong) | 13th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 2 · 1 | 2 · 8 |
| Try Assists | 0.4/g | 0.9/g |
| Run Metres | 336m/g | 307m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 9/g | 5.6/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.3/g | 1/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 93.5% | 94.4% |

**Who scores on Bradford Bulls** — Locks 0.43/g (lg 0.05) +760% · 2nd Rows 0.57/g (lg 0.26) +119% · Centres 0.86/g (lg 0.48) +79%
**Who scores on Wakefield Trinity** — Fullbacks 0.37/g (lg 0.25) +48% · Centres 0.69/g (lg 0.48) +44% · Hookers 0.11/g (lg 0.11) +0%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at The Diy Kitchens Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Wakefield Trinity** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joshua Rourke | FB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | 🏉 34' |
| 2 | Oliver Pratt | WG | 7 in 5g | 7/5g (1·1·1·2·2) | 0/0g | 2/2g | 100% | — | 🏉 48' 61' 68' |
| 3 | Cameron Scott | CE | 3 in 7g | 8/10g (1·3·1·1·1·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 4/12g | 36% | — | 🏉 23' |
| 4 | Corey Hall | CE | 1 in 6g | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 2/13g | 18% | — | — |
| 5 | Tom Johnstone | WG | 2 in 3g | 6/10g (1·0·0·1·0·2·0·0·2·0) | 0/0g | 4/12g | 44% | — | 🏉 1' 7' 17' 73' |
| 6 | Jake Trueman | 5/8 | 2 in 7g | 3/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·2) | 0/0g | 2/10g | 14% | — | — |
| 7 | Jack Sinfield | HB | 0 in 6g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/4g | 8% | — | — |
| 8 | Mike McMeeken | PR | 0 in 7g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 1/15g | 8% | — | — |
| 9 | Harvey Smith | HK | 0 in 7g | 1/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 2/15g | 9% | — | — |
| 10 | Tray Lolesio | PR | 0 in 3g | 0/3g (0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 11 | Seth Nikotemo | 2R | 1 in 7g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 2/12g | 14% | — | 🏉 52' |
| 12 | Matty Storton | 2R | 0 in 7g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 1/9g | 6% | — | — |
| 13 | Jay Pitts | LK | 0 in 7g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 1/16g | 2% | — | — |
| 14 | Tyson Smoothy | INT | 1 in 6g | 1/6g (0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 17% | — | — |
| 15 | Ky Rodwell | INT | 0 in 6g | 1/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/5g | 8% | — | — |
| 16 | Caleb Hamiln-Uele | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 17 | Caius Faatili | INT | 0 in 4g | 1/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 6/15g | 14% | — | — |

**Bradford Bulls** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caleb Aekins | FB | 2 in 7g | 2/7g (0·1·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 29% | — | — |
| 2 | Connor Wynne | WG | 5 in 7g | 5/10g (0·0·0·2·0·0·2·0·0·1) | 0/5g | 0/0g | 26% | — | — |
| 3 | Esan Marsters | CE | 2 in 7g | 3/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·2·0) | 1/3g | 0/1g | 20% | — | — |
| 4 | Ed Chamberlain | CE | 0 in 6g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/4g | 1/1g | 2% | — | — |
| 5 | Ethan Ryan | WG | 4 in 6g | 6/10g (0·1·1·0·0·3·1·0·0·0) | 3/4g | 0/0g | 28% | — | — |
| 6 | Christopher Atkin | 5/8 | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 7 | Joe Mellor | HB | 1 in 7g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 3/13g | 0/0g | 20% | — | — |
| 8 | Jack Ormondroyd | PR | 0 in 3g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/7g | 0/1g | 0% | — | — |
| 9 | Andy Ackers | HK | 2 in 7g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0) | 1/6g | 0/0g | 10% | — | — |
| 10 | Loghan Lewis | PR | 0 in 6g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 11 | Leon Ruan | 2R | 1 in 6g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 1/2g | 0/0g | 7% | — | — |
| 12 | Zac Fulton | 2R | 0 in 5g | 0/5g (0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | 🏉 45' |
| 13 | Eliot Peposhi | LK | 0 in 5g | 0/5g (0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | 🏉 66' |
| 14 | Sam Hallas | INT | 0 in 4g | 0/6g (0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 14 | Samuel Hallas | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 15 | Ebon Scurr | INT | 0 in 2g | 0/2g (0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 16 | Dan Russell | INT | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/1g | 3% | — | — |
| 17 | Brandon Douglas | INT | 0 in 2g | 0/2g (0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Wakefield Trinity 1571 · Bradford Bulls 1464 · ELO difference: 108 in favour of Wakefield Trinity

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Bradford Bulls |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | — |

**Model Confidence: 84%** — Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 15 points · Predicted total: 48 pts

**Record:** 1/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)