Huddersfield Giants
Leeds Rhinos
AI Win Probability
Huddersfield Giants
54%
Leeds Rhinos
46%
AI Match Overview
Huddersfield Giants hold the advantage at 54% win probability, though Leeds Rhinos are far from out of this at 46%. Leeds Rhinos are stronger on paper across 5 of 7 key factors, including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate, but Huddersfield Giants counter with Forward Pack and Halves Control which tips the scales. Leeds Rhinos carry a 273-point ELO rating advantage (1665 vs 1391). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 3.6 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Huddersfield Giants to Win @1.85
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos -3.6 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Huddersfield Giants | R3L R4L R5L R6W R7W older → newer | 19.2 |
Leeds Rhinos | R3W R4W R5L R6W R7W | 29.2 |
Avg Conceded
24.4
Huddersfield Giants
13.6
Leeds Rhinos
Avg Margin
-5.2
Huddersfield Giants
15.6
Leeds Rhinos
Run Metres
1244
Huddersfield Giants
1383
Leeds Rhinos
Clean Breaks
3.8
Huddersfield Giants
5.6
Leeds Rhinos
ELO–Market Disagreement
Leeds Rhinos hold the ELO advantage (1665 vs 1391), but the market favours Huddersfield Giants (@1.85).
The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
54%
Huddersfield Giants predicted to win by 4 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: -3.6