Warrington Wolves
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
65%
Leigh Leopards
35%
AI Match Overview
Warrington Wolves are clear favourites here at 65%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leigh Leopards. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Recent form favours Warrington Wolves with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Leigh Leopards. The margin model predicts Warrington Wolves by 13.6 points with a combined total of 50.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Warrington Wolves to Win @1.54
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Warrington Wolves +13.6 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Warrington Wolves 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | R1W R3W R4W R5W R6L older → newer | 36.6 |
Leigh Leopards | R2L R3L R4L R5L R6W | 13.8 |
Avg Conceded
18.4
Warrington Wolves
26.8
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
18.2
Warrington Wolves
-13.0
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1310
Warrington Wolves
1114
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
6.4
Warrington Wolves
4.0
Leigh Leopards
ELO–Market Disagreement
Leigh Leopards hold the ELO advantage (1515 vs 1514), but the market favours Warrington Wolves (@1.54).
The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
65%
Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 14 points
Predicted total: 50 · Line: +13.6