St Helens
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
St Helens
42%
Wigan Warriors
58%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors hold the advantage at 58% win probability, though St Helens are far from out of this at 42%. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 128-point ELO rating advantage (1689 vs 1561). The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 7.8 points with a combined total of 44.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.72
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -7.8 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R2W R3W R4W R5W R6L older → newer | 24.4 |
Wigan Warriors | R2W R3W R4W R5W R6L | 32.6 |
Avg Conceded
22.4
St Helens
15.6
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
2.0
St Helens
17.0
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
1220
St Helens
1330
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
5.4
St Helens
6.4
Wigan Warriors
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
58%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 8 points
Predicted total: 44 · Line: -7.8