# Huddersfield Giants v York Knights — Super League Round 7 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Huddersfield Giants 34 – 14 York Knights

_Huddersfield Giants tower over York Knights._

Half time: 18 – 8 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Huddersfield Giants 63% / York Knights 37% · The Accu Stadium · Sun, 05 Apr, 01:00 am AEDT

**Try Scorers** — Huddersfield Giants: Adam Clune (6' 1st), Niall Evalds (9'), Tanguy Zenon (14'), Jacob Gagai (42'), Jacob Gagai (53'), Zac Woolford (69') · York Knights: Will Roberts (27'), David Nofoaluma (32'), Nikau Williams (67')

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Giants | 63% | Won |
| York Knights | 37% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 6.7 predicted → 20 actual · Markets hit: 1/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Huddersfield Giants vs York Knights Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 7 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 20 June 2026, 08:12 pm_

Huddersfield Giants 34–14 York Knights in Super League Round 7 at The Accu Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Thirty-seven tackle busts to 22. That gap tells you most of what you need to know about how Huddersfield Giants put York Knights away 34-14 at The Accu Stadium.

It didn't take long to see where that gap came from. Adam Clune opened the scoring in the 6th minute, and by the 15th, Huddersfield had rattled off four tries without reply, Niall Evalds and Tanguy Zenon both crossing, Zenon adding the extras each time to make it 18-0. That's a side going through defenders, not around them, and with backs rated 1341 against York's 704 coming in, it's exactly the mismatch the numbers flagged.

York Knights didn't fold. Will Roberts and David Nofoaluma both scored either side of the half-hour mark to drag it back to 18-8 at the break, and for a spell it looked like a genuine contest. But Jacob Gagai crossed twice either side of the hour, in the 42nd and 53rd minutes, and Zac Woolford's try in the 69th put the game well out of reach before Nikau Williams' late four-pointer just tidied up the margin.

The ball-handling told a similar story to the tackle busts. Huddersfield coughed it up 7 times, York 10, and while York actually offloaded more (14 to 8), all that extra ball-in-hand work bought them was 1,351 running metres to Huddersfield's 1,432. Line breaks were locked at 6 apiece, so this wasn't a game won out wide through raw opportunity. It was won through go-forward and control, Huddersfield's forwards (897 to York's 844 in the pre-match ratings) doing the donkey work to set up the busts that the backs and halves then finished.

Discipline mattered too. Huddersfield conceded just 3 penalties to York's 5, and against a side missing that many tackles and shipping that much territory, every extra set matters.

For York, there are things to hang onto. Three tries from Roberts, Nofoaluma and Williams against a team with genuine strike power isn't nothing, and their hooker rating of 681 against Huddersfield's 630 was one of the few areas they came in favoured. But form coming in had them at an average concession of 29.8 points a game, and 34 shipped here fits that pattern more than it breaks it.

Alphr's model backed Huddersfield to win at 63% probability, and got that half right. The margin call was the miss: expected by 6.7, actual by 20. The total score read was sharper, tipped at 48, landed bang on 48. One out of two isn't a disaster, but a 20-point beating from a 6.7-point tip is the kind of gap worth noting rather than glossing over.

Huddersfield's form had them 1 win from their last 5 coming in, same as York, so neither side arrived flying. On this evidence, Huddersfield were simply the more physical side on the day, and the scoreboard reflected it from the sixth minute onward.

**Key Match Stats**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | York Knights |
|---|---|---|
| **1,432** | Run metres | 1,351 |
| 6 | Line breaks | 6 |
| **37** | Tackle busts | 22 |
| 8 | Offloads | **14** |
| **7** | Errors | 10 |
| **3** | Penalties conceded | 5 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | York Knights |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tries | 3 |
| 5/6 | Goals | 1/3 |
| 3 | Penalties Conceded | 5 |
| 7 | Errors | 10 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Huddersfield Giants to win at 63% probability. The margin model missed here, predicting 6.7 but the actual margin was 20 points. Total score prediction of 48 was close to the actual 48, within 0 points. Huddersfield Giants led 18–8 at the break and pulled away in the second half to win by 20. The model went 1/2 on this match.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (22/100) — penalties Huddersfield Giants 3 · York Knights 5.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Huddersfield Giants to win — model probability 63.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Huddersfield Giants 1-12 — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Huddersfield Giants by 7 · Predicted total: 48

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

Huddersfield Giants are the call at 63%, but York Knights stay live at 37%. The ratings say otherwise: York Knights sit 97 ELO points clear, 1443 to 1347, so the model is backing Huddersfield Giants against the ratings gap.

Huddersfield Giants own the matchup too, leading 3 of 7 factors including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Halves Control. The margin model has Huddersfield Giants by 6.7, with the two sides combining for about 48. Lean Huddersfield Giants, but it shapes as a genuine contest.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | York Knights |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 15.6pts | Avg Score | 19.4pts |
| 25.2pts | Avg Conceded | 29.8pts |
| -9.6pts | Avg Margin | -10.4pts |
| 1220.6m | Run Metres | 1230.4m |
| 3.6 | Clean Breaks | 3.8 |
| 314.8 | Tackles | 313.4 |
| 9.4 | Errors | 9.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Giants | R2 L · R3 L · R4 L · R5 L · R6 W | 15.6 |
| York Knights | R2 L · R3 W · R4 L · R5 L · R6 L | 19.4 |

### H2H History (Last 2) — Tied 1-1

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R20 | York Knights | 22 – 24 | Huddersfield Giants | York Knights 52% ✗ |
| 2026 | R17 | Huddersfield Giants | 24 – 36 | York Knights | Huddersfield Giants 52% ✗ |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in 0 of the last 2 decided meetings it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (14 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Huddersfield Giants' best path is the middle: Super League's 8th-ranked middle attack (1.67 tries/game) runs at a York Knights defence ranked 12th there (2.17 conceded/game). Key man: Flanagan, 5 tries in that channel this season.
- York Knights' best path is the middle: Super League's 7th-ranked middle attack (1.83 tries/game) runs at a Huddersfield Giants defence ranked 12th there (2.17 conceded/game). Key man: Nofoaluma, 3 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Huddersfield Giants | York Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 0.33/g (att 13th (weak)) · concedes 1.17/g (def 10th) | 0.5/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 1.17/g (def 10th) |
| Middle | 1.67/g (att 8th) · concedes 2.17/g (def 12th (weak)) | 1.83/g (att 7th) · concedes 2.17/g (def 12th (weak)) |
| Right | 0.67/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 1.17/g (def 8th) | 1/g (att 7th) · concedes 1.67/g (def 12th (weak)) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | York Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 11th (weak) | 6th |
| Defence rank | 14th (weak) | 5th (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 1 · 7 | 2 · 2 |
| Try Assists | 1.2/g | 1.7/g |
| Run Metres | 116m/g | 93m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 3/g | 3.8/g |
| Line Breaks | 0/g | 0.3/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 86.5% | 85.7% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | York Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 8th | 13th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 6th | 14th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 12 · 13 | 10 · 19 |
| Try Assists | 0.5/g | 0.7/g |
| Run Metres | 442m/g | 487m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 13/g | 12.2/g |
| Line Breaks | 2.3/g | 1.8/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 78.2% | 86% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | York Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 13th (weak) | 4th (strong) |
| Defence rank | 6th | 9th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 1 · 2 | 4 · 3 |
| Try Assists | 0/g | 0.5/g |
| Run Metres | 286m/g | 304m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 5.7/g | 8.3/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.3/g | 1/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 92.8% | 91.6% |

**Who scores on York Knights** — Locks 0.17/g (lg 0.05) +240% · Wingers 2.33/g (lg 0.95) +145% · Fullbacks 0.5/g (lg 0.25) +100%
**Who scores on Huddersfield Giants** — Five-Eighths 0.32/g (lg 0.2) +60% · Halfbacks 0.27/g (lg 0.17) +59% · Centres 0.67/g (lg 0.47) +43%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at The Accu Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Huddersfield Giants** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niall Evalds | FB | 1 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 18% | — | 🏉 9' |
| 2 | Adam Swift | WG | no games | 4/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·1·1·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 62% | — | — |
| 3 | Jacob Gagai | CE | 3 in 6g | 4/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·1·0·1·1) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 42% | — | 🏉 42' 53' |
| 4 | Connor Wrench | CE | 1 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 26% | — | — |
| 5 | Tanguy Zenon | WG | 1 in 4g | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/1g | 17% | — | 🏉 14' |
| 6 | Adam Clune | 5/8 | 1 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 18% | — | 🏉 6' |
| 7 | Tui Lolohea | HB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 7 | Tuimoala Lolohea | HB | 0 in 6g | 4/10g (2·1·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 24% | — | — |
| 8 | George King | PR | 0 in 6g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 2% | — | — |
| 9 | Zac Woolford | HK | 0 in 5g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/1g | 0% | — | 🏉 69' |
| 10 | Fenton Rogers | PR | 0 in 5g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 2% | — | — |
| 11 | Asher O'Donnell | 2R | 0 in 6g | 0/6g (0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 0% | — | — |
| 12 | Chris Patolo | 2R | 0 in 6g | 0/6g (0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 0% | — | — |
| 13 | Tristan Powell | LK | 1 in 6g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 7% | — | — |
| 14 | Oliver Russell | INT | 0 in 5g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 2% | — | — |
| 14 | Olly Russell | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 15 | Tom Burgess | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 16 | Taane Milne | INT | 0 in 6g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 5% | — | — |
| 17 | Mathieu Cozza | INT | 0 in 6g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 0% | — | — |

**York Knights** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Dagger | FB | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/0g | 6% | — | — |
| 2 | Scott Galeano | WG | 2 in 4g | 2/4g (1·1·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 50% | — | — |
| 3 | Oli Field | CE | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 4 | Nikau Williams | CE | 1 in 6g | 1/6g (0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 17% | — | 🏉 67' |
| 5 | Mark Nofoaluma | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 6 | Ata Hingano | 5/8 | 1 in 3g | 1/3g (0·1·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 33% | — | — |
| 7 | Will Roberts | HB | no games | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | 🏉 27' |
| 8 | Paul Vaughan | PR | 3 in 6g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·1·1·0) | 1/5g | 0/0g | 16% | — | — |
| 9 | Paul McShane | HK | 0 in 6g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 2/16g | 0/0g | 4% | — | — |
| 10 | Xavier Va'a | PR | 0 in 6g | 0/6g (0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 11 | Jesse Dee | 2R | 0 in 5g | 0/5g (0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 12 | Josh Griffin | 2R | 0 in 6g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 7/12g | 0/0g | 18% | — | — |
| 13 | Sam Cook | LK | 0 in 2g | 0/2g (0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 14 | Denive Balmforth | INT | 1 in 6g | 3/10g (0·1·1·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 0/4g | 0/0g | 20% | — | — |
| 15 | Jack Martin | INT | 0 in 6g | 0/6g (0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 16 | Justin Sangare | INT | 0 in 6g | 3/10g (2·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/7g | 0/0g | 10% | — | — |
| 17 | Kieran Buchanan | INT | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·1·0·0·0·1·1·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/0g | 26% | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**ELO–Market Disagreement:** York Knights hold the ELO advantage (1443 vs 1347), but the market favours Huddersfield Giants (@1.58). The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.

**Team ELO Ratings** — Huddersfield Giants 1347 · York Knights 1443 · ELO difference: 97 in favour of York Knights

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | York Knights |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | — |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | York Knights |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | — |

**Model Confidence: 63%** — Huddersfield Giants predicted to win by 7 points · Predicted total: 48 pts

**Record:** 1/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)