Catalans Dragons
Toulouse Olympique
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
64%
Toulouse Olympique
36%
AI Match Overview
Catalans Dragons hold the advantage at 64% win probability, though Toulouse Olympique are far from out of this at 36%. The model sees Catalans Dragons ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. Catalans Dragons carry a 27-point ELO rating advantage (1451 vs 1424). Recent form favours Catalans Dragons with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Toulouse Olympique. The margin model predicts Catalans Dragons by 5.8 points with a combined total of 50.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Catalans Dragons to Win @1.56
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Catalans Dragons +5.8 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Catalans Dragons 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R2L R3L R4W R5W R6L older → newer | 16.4 |
Toulouse Olympique | R2W R3L R4L R5L R6L | 16.4 |
Avg Conceded
24.8
Catalans Dragons
23.4
Toulouse Olympique
Avg Margin
-8.4
Catalans Dragons
-7.0
Toulouse Olympique
Run Metres
1183
Catalans Dragons
1210
Toulouse Olympique
Clean Breaks
3.2
Catalans Dragons
5.4
Toulouse Olympique
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
64%
Catalans Dragons predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 50 · Line: +5.8