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Super League | Round 6

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THE BRICK COMMUNITY STADIUM • SATURDAY 28 MAR, 11:00 AM AEDT
Full Time
WIG

Wigan Warriors

1634
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

❌ Upset — model favoured Wigan Warriors at 85%

AI Win Probability

85%Wigan WarriorsFavourite

Wigan Warriors

85%

Huddersfield Giants

15%

AI Match Overview

Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 85%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 471-point ELO rating advantage (1754 vs 1282). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 21.2 points with a combined total of 45.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Wigan Warriors to Win @1.18

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Line / Spread

Wigan Warriors +21.2 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Wigan Warriors 13-24 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Wigan Warriors
R1W
R2W
R3W
R4W
R5W

older → newer

34.6
Huddersfield Giants
R1L
R2L
R3L
R4L
R5L
10.8

Avg Conceded

12.0

Wigan Warriors

27.2

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

22.6

Wigan Warriors

-16.4

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

1409

Wigan Warriors

1103

Huddersfield Giants

Clean Breaks

6.8

Wigan Warriors

2.8

Huddersfield Giants

H2H History (Last 5)Wigan Warriors lead 5-0
Jul 2025WIG 30 - 10 HUD
Jun 2025WIG 22 - 18 HUD
Mar 2025WIG 44 - 18 HUD
Feb 2024WIG 48 - 6 HUD
Jul 2024WIG 28 - 14 HUD
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

WIG
1754Overall1282
HUD
ELO difference: +471 in favour of Wigan Warriors

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

917Forwards803
Best: 1160WIG +114Best: 1074
1049Backs642
Best: 1267WIG +406Best: 671
734Halves921
Best: 734HUD +187Best: 921
946Hooker663
WIG +284

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

WIG
Stat
HUD
5.0
Wins (Last 5)
0.0
34.6pts
Avg Score
10.8pts
12.0pts
Avg Conceded
27.2pts
22.6pts
Avg Margin
-16.4pts
1409.2m
Run Metres
1103.0m
6.8
Clean Breaks
2.8
277.4
Tackles
341.4
11.2
Errors
10.4

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Warriors
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Warriors
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Warriors
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Warriors
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
Warriors
7
H2H History6.0%
Warriors

Model Confidence

85%

Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 21 points

Predicted total: 45 · Line: +21.2

1/4 match predictions correct