Leigh Leopards
Toulouse Olympique
AI Win Probability
Leigh Leopards
71%
Toulouse Olympique
29%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 71%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Toulouse Olympique. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leigh Leopards carry a 57-point ELO rating advantage (1498 vs 1442). Recent form favours Toulouse Olympique with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Leigh Leopards. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 6.1 points with a combined total of 44.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.41
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards +6.1 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leigh Leopards | R1W R2L R3L R4L R5L older → newer | 14.8 |
Toulouse Olympique | R1W R2W R3L R4L R5L | 16.0 |
Avg Conceded
25.6
Leigh Leopards
22.4
Toulouse Olympique
Avg Margin
-10.8
Leigh Leopards
-6.4
Toulouse Olympique
Run Metres
1110
Leigh Leopards
1205
Toulouse Olympique
Clean Breaks
3.2
Leigh Leopards
5.8
Toulouse Olympique
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
71%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 44 · Line: +6.1