Leeds Rhinos
Warrington Wolves
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
74%
Warrington Wolves
26%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 74%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Warrington Wolves. Warrington Wolves are stronger on paper across 5 of 7 key factors, including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate, but Leeds Rhinos counter with ELO Difference and Venue Advantage which tips the scales. Leeds Rhinos carry a 102-point ELO rating advantage (1633 vs 1531). Recent form favours Warrington Wolves with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Leeds Rhinos. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 9.0 points with a combined total of 47.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.34
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +9 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R1L R2W R3W R4W R5L older → newer | 31.2 |
Warrington Wolves | R1W R3W R4W R5W | 36.2 |
Avg Conceded
14.8
Leeds Rhinos
18.8
Warrington Wolves
Avg Margin
16.4
Leeds Rhinos
17.4
Warrington Wolves
Run Metres
1423
Leeds Rhinos
1223
Warrington Wolves
Clean Breaks
6.0
Leeds Rhinos
6.0
Warrington Wolves
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
74%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 9 points
Predicted total: 47 · Line: +9.0