Hull
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Hull
54%
Catalans Dragons
46%
AI Match Overview
Hull hold the advantage at 54% win probability, though Catalans Dragons are far from out of this at 46%. Catalans Dragons are stronger on paper across 5 of 7 key factors, including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate, but Hull counter with ELO Difference and H2H History which tips the scales. Recent form favours Catalans Dragons with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Hull.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull to Win @1.87
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Catalans Dragons -0.3 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Catalans Dragons Draw @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull | R1W R2L R3L R4L R5W older → newer | 16.6 |
Catalans Dragons | R1W R2L R3L R4W R5W | 17.6 |
Avg Conceded
20.2
Hull
22.0
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
-3.6
Hull
-4.4
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
1129
Hull
1219
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
3.6
Hull
3.4
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
54%
Hull predicted to win by 0 points
Predicted total: 38 · Line: -0.3