Castleford Tigers
Bradford Bulls
AI Win Probability
Castleford Tigers
44%
Bradford Bulls
56%
AI Match Overview
Bradford Bulls hold the advantage at 56% win probability, though Castleford Tigers are far from out of this at 44%. The model sees Bradford Bulls ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Bradford Bulls carry a 220-point ELO rating advantage (1527 vs 1307). Recent form favours Bradford Bulls with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Castleford Tigers. The margin model predicts Bradford Bulls by 10.3 points with a combined total of 47.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Bradford Bulls to Win @1.79
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Bradford Bulls -10.3 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Bradford Bulls 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Castleford Tigers | R1L R2L R3W R4L R5L older → newer | 14.4 |
Bradford Bulls | R1L R2W R3W R4L R5W | 22.8 |
Avg Conceded
30.4
Castleford Tigers
16.6
Bradford Bulls
Avg Margin
-16.0
Castleford Tigers
6.2
Bradford Bulls
Run Metres
1020
Castleford Tigers
1193
Bradford Bulls
Clean Breaks
4.6
Castleford Tigers
4.8
Bradford Bulls
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
56%
Bradford Bulls predicted to win by 10 points
Predicted total: 47 · Line: -10.3