Wigan Warriors
York Knights
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
79%
York Knights
21%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 79%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over York Knights. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 270-point ELO rating advantage (1747 vs 1477). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for York Knights. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 21.4 points with a combined total of 50.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.27
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +21.4 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R1W R2W R3W R4W older → newer | 31.2 |
York Knights | R1W R2L R3W R4L | 20.0 |
Avg Conceded
12.4
Wigan Warriors
29.5
York Knights
Avg Margin
18.8
Wigan Warriors
-9.5
York Knights
Run Metres
1316
Wigan Warriors
1121
York Knights
Clean Breaks
6.2
Wigan Warriors
3.5
York Knights
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
79%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 21 points
Predicted total: 50 · Line: +21.4