# Warrington Wolves v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 5 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Warrington Wolves v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 22 Mar, 02:00 am AEDT · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 5

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 73.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves — model probability 73.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 73.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 6 · Predicted total: 48

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Warrington Wolves | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 22.2pts | Avg Score | 18.0pts |
| 24.4pts | Avg Conceded | 21.2pts |
| -2.2pts | Avg Margin | -3.2pts |
| 1042.2m | Run Metres | 1045.2m |
| 3.8 | Clean Breaks | 5.4 |
| 271.0 | Tackles | 290.2 |
| 6.0 | Errors | 8.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Warrington Wolves | R26 L · R27 L · R1 W · R3 W · R4 W | 22.2 |
| Castleford Tigers | R27 L · R1 L · R2 L · R3 W · R4 L | 18.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)