Wakefield Trinity
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Wakefield Trinity
66%
Leigh Leopards
34%
AI Match Overview
Wakefield Trinity are clear favourites here at 66%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leigh Leopards. The model sees Wakefield Trinity ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including Forward Pack, Recent Win Rate and Halves Control. Leigh Leopards carry a 24-point ELO rating advantage (1523 vs 1499). Recent form favours Wakefield Trinity with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Leigh Leopards. The margin model predicts Wakefield Trinity by 7.0 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wakefield Trinity to Win @1.51
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Wakefield Trinity +7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wakefield Trinity 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wakefield Trinity | R1L R2W R3L R4W older → newer | 14.8 |
Leigh Leopards | R1W R2L R3L R4L | 13.2 |
Avg Conceded
19.4
Wakefield Trinity
25.6
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
-4.6
Wakefield Trinity
-12.4
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1196
Wakefield Trinity
1140
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
3.6
Wakefield Trinity
3.4
Leigh Leopards
ELO–Market Disagreement
Leigh Leopards hold the ELO advantage (1523 vs 1499), but the market favours Wakefield Trinity (@1.51).
The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
66%
Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: +7.0