# Toulouse Olympique v St Helens — Super League Round 5 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Toulouse Olympique v St Helens
Sat, 21 Mar, 05:00 am AEDT · Stade Ernest Wallon · Round 5

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 52.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 52.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 52.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 2 · Predicted total: 45

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Toulouse Olympique | Stat | St Helens |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 16.0pts | Avg Score | 21.6pts |
| 20.5pts | Avg Conceded | 17.6pts |
| -4.5pts | Avg Margin | 4.0pts |
| 1225.0m | Run Metres | 1183.8m |
| 6.3 | Clean Breaks | 4.8 |
| 313.0 | Tackles | 285.6 |
| 10.8 | Errors | 9.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse Olympique | R1 W · R2 W · R3 L · R4 L | 16.0 |
| St Helens | R29 L · R1 L · R2 W · R3 W · R4 W | 21.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)