Hull
Leeds Rhinos
AI Win Probability
Hull
32%
Leeds Rhinos
68%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 68%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Hull. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Leeds Rhinos carry a 238-point ELO rating advantage (1675 vs 1436). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Hull. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 7.7 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.47
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos -7.7 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull | R1W R2L R3L R4L older → newer | 16.2 |
Leeds Rhinos | R1L R2W R3W R4W | 30.8 |
Avg Conceded
22.2
Hull
13.2
Leeds Rhinos
Avg Margin
-6.0
Hull
17.6
Leeds Rhinos
Run Metres
1139
Hull
1419
Leeds Rhinos
Clean Breaks
3.6
Hull
6.4
Leeds Rhinos
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
68%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 8 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: -7.7