Catalans Dragons
Hull KR
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
48%
Hull KR
52%
AI Match Overview
This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives Hull KR a marginal 52% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. The model sees Hull KR ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Halves Control. Hull KR carry a 137-point ELO rating advantage (1578 vs 1441). The margin model predicts Hull KR by 2.3 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull KR to Win @1.92
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Hull KR -2.3 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull KR 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R1W R2L R3L R4W older → newer | 17.6 |
Hull KR | R1L R3L R4W | 20.0 |
Avg Conceded
22.4
Catalans Dragons
20.2
Hull KR
Avg Margin
-4.8
Catalans Dragons
-0.2
Hull KR
Run Metres
1094
Catalans Dragons
1151
Hull KR
Clean Breaks
3.2
Catalans Dragons
4.6
Hull KR
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
52%
Hull KR predicted to win by 2 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: -2.3