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Super League | Round 5

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BARTERCARD ODSAL STADIUM • FRIDAY 20 MAR, 11:00 AM AEDT
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BRD

Bradford Bulls

2614
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

✅ Model correct — backed Bradford Bulls at 80%

AI Win Probability

80%Bradford BullsFavourite

Bradford Bulls

80%

Huddersfield Giants

20%

AI Match Overview

Bradford Bulls are clear favourites here at 80%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Bradford Bulls ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. Bradford Bulls carry a 219-point ELO rating advantage (1515 vs 1295). Recent form favours Bradford Bulls with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Bradford Bulls by 8.5 points with a combined total of 43.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Bradford Bulls to Win @1.26

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Line / Spread

Bradford Bulls +8.5 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Bradford Bulls 1-12 @3.30

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Bradford Bulls
R1L
R2W
R3W
R4L

older → newer

22.0
Huddersfield Giants
R1L
R2L
R3L
R4L
11.2

Avg Conceded

17.3

Bradford Bulls

28.0

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

4.8

Bradford Bulls

-16.8

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

1172

Bradford Bulls

1030

Huddersfield Giants

Clean Breaks

4.8

Bradford Bulls

2.8

Huddersfield Giants

Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

BRD
1515Overall1295
HUD
ELO difference: +219 in favour of Bradford Bulls

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

789Forwards829
Best: 1074HUD +40Best: 1071
926Backs621
Best: 1143BRD +305Best: 635
626Halves1000
Best: 626HUD +374Best: 1000
1190Hooker622
BRD +568

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

BRD
Stat
HUD
2.0
Wins (Last 5)
0.0
22.0pts
Avg Score
11.2pts
17.3pts
Avg Conceded
28.0pts
4.8pts
Avg Margin
-16.8pts
1171.5m
Run Metres
1029.6m
4.8
Clean Breaks
2.8
325.0
Tackles
337.2
12.3
Errors
11.0

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Bulls
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Giants
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Bulls
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Bulls
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
Bulls
7
H2H History6.0%

Model Confidence

80%

Bradford Bulls predicted to win by 9 points

Predicted total: 43 · Line: +8.5

3/4 match predictions correct