York Knights
Warrington Wolves
AI Win Probability
York Knights
65%
Warrington Wolves
35%
AI Match Overview
York Knights are clear favourites here at 65%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Warrington Wolves. The model sees York Knights ahead on 3 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Venue Advantage. York Knights carry a 47-point ELO rating advantage (1508 vs 1461). The margin model predicts York Knights by 4.1 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
York Knights to Win @1.55
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
York Knights +4.1 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
York Knights 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
York Knights | R1W R2L R3W older → newer | 16.7 |
Warrington Wolves | R1W R3W | 17.0 |
Avg Conceded
26.7
York Knights
25.2
Warrington Wolves
Avg Margin
-10.0
York Knights
-8.2
Warrington Wolves
Run Metres
1110
York Knights
891
Warrington Wolves
Clean Breaks
3.0
York Knights
2.8
Warrington Wolves
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
65%
York Knights predicted to win by 4 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: +4.1