Toulouse Olympique
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Toulouse Olympique
34%
Wigan Warriors
66%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 66%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Toulouse Olympique. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 7 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 258-point ELO rating advantage (1734 vs 1476). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Toulouse Olympique. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 9.3 points with a combined total of 46.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.52
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -9.3 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Toulouse Olympique | R1W R2W R3L older → newer | 15.2 |
Wigan Warriors | R1W R2W R3W | 27.6 |
Avg Conceded
24.0
Toulouse Olympique
10.4
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
-8.8
Toulouse Olympique
17.2
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
1001
Toulouse Olympique
1314
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
4.2
Toulouse Olympique
5.2
Wigan Warriors
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
66%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 9 points
Predicted total: 46 · Line: -9.3