St Helens
Bradford Bulls
AI Win Probability
St Helens
71%
Bradford Bulls
29%
AI Match Overview
St Helens are clear favourites here at 71%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Bradford Bulls. The model sees St Helens ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. St Helens carry a 55-point ELO rating advantage (1589 vs 1534). Recent form favours St Helens with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Bradford Bulls. The margin model predicts St Helens by 3.3 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.42
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
St Helens +3.3 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R1L R2W R3W older → newer | 19.6 |
Bradford Bulls | R1L R2W R3W | 22.0 |
Avg Conceded
16.0
St Helens
14.3
Bradford Bulls
Avg Margin
3.6
St Helens
7.7
Bradford Bulls
Run Metres
1132
St Helens
1240
Bradford Bulls
Clean Breaks
4.0
St Helens
5.0
Bradford Bulls
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
71%
St Helens predicted to win by 3 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +3.3