Leigh Leopards
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Leigh Leopards
70%
Catalans Dragons
30%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 70%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Venue Advantage. Leigh Leopards carry a 153-point ELO rating advantage (1559 vs 1406). Recent form favours Catalans Dragons with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Leigh Leopards. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 6.1 points with a combined total of 47.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.42
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards +6.1 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leigh Leopards | R1W R2L R3L older → newer | 15.2 |
Catalans Dragons | R1W R2L R3L | 16.4 |
Avg Conceded
23.2
Leigh Leopards
20.8
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
-8.0
Leigh Leopards
-4.4
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
1173
Leigh Leopards
980
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
3.4
Leigh Leopards
3.0
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
70%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 47 · Line: +6.1