Wigan Warriors
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
75%
Leigh Leopards
25%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 75%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leigh Leopards. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 78-point ELO rating advantage (1686 vs 1608). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Leigh Leopards. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 10.2 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.33
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +10.2 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R1W R2W older → newer | 21.2 |
Leigh Leopards | R1W R2L | 21.2 |
Avg Conceded
11.6
Wigan Warriors
15.6
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
9.6
Wigan Warriors
5.6
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1253
Wigan Warriors
1280
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
4.0
Wigan Warriors
5.2
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
75%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 10 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: +10.2