Warrington Wolves
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
54%
Wakefield Trinity
46%
AI Match Overview
Warrington Wolves hold the advantage at 54% win probability, though Wakefield Trinity are far from out of this at 46%. Wakefield Trinity are stronger on paper across 5 of 7 key factors, including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate, but Warrington Wolves counter with Backline Quality and Venue Advantage which tips the scales. Wakefield Trinity carry a 88-point ELO rating advantage (1514 vs 1426). Recent form favours Wakefield Trinity with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Warrington Wolves. The margin model predicts Warrington Wolves by 2.0 points with a combined total of 51.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Warrington Wolves to Win @1.87
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Warrington Wolves +2 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Warrington Wolves 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | R1W older → newer | 14.0 |
Wakefield Trinity | R1L R2W | 24.8 |
Avg Conceded
27.0
Warrington Wolves
17.6
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
-13.0
Warrington Wolves
7.2
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
783
Warrington Wolves
1233
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
2.2
Warrington Wolves
5.2
Wakefield Trinity
ELO–Market Disagreement
Wakefield Trinity hold the ELO advantage (1514 vs 1426), but the market favours Warrington Wolves (@1.87).
The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
54%
Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 2 points
Predicted total: 51 · Line: +2.0