Hull
York Knights
AI Win Probability
Hull
65%
York Knights
35%
AI Match Overview
Hull are clear favourites here at 65%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over York Knights. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Recent form favours Hull with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for York Knights. The margin model predicts Hull by 5.4 points with a combined total of 40.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull to Win @1.54
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Hull +5.4 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull | R1W R2L older → newer | 18.6 |
York Knights | R1W R2L | 16.5 |
Avg Conceded
20.0
Hull
32.0
York Knights
Avg Margin
-1.4
Hull
-15.5
York Knights
Run Metres
970
Hull
1053
York Knights
Clean Breaks
3.2
Hull
3.0
York Knights
ELO–Market Disagreement
York Knights hold the ELO advantage (1487 vs 1479), but the market favours Hull (@1.54).
The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
65%
Hull predicted to win by 5 points
Predicted total: 40 · Line: +5.4