# Wigan Warriors v Hull KR — Super League Round 25 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Wigan Warriors v Hull KR?

Alphr's Super League model makes Wigan Warriors a clear 66% favourite over Hull KR in Round 25. Predicted result: Wigan Warriors by 12 in a low-scoring game (42 total, under the 60.5 line). **Confidence: High.** Wigan Warriors lead on ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Forward Pack. The standout value sits in the try-scorer market — Jack Broadbent leads at +10.9% edge.

_Alphr Super League Model v2026.08.27 · 71.1% head-to-head accuracy across 166 verified predictions · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Wigan Warriors v Hull KR
Fri, 28 Aug, 05:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 25

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 65.9%
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR +41.5 — model probability 65.9%
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 65.9%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 60.5 — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 12 · Predicted total: 42

### Match Overview

The model is firm on Wigan Warriors here: 66% to see off Hull KR. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Wigan Warriors sit 208 ELO points clear, 1793 to 1585. Form leans Wigan Warriors's way: 5 from their last 5, against 3 for Hull KR.

Wigan Warriors own the matchup too, leading 5 of 6 factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Backline Quality. The margin model has Wigan Warriors by 11.5, with the two sides combining for about 42. Wigan Warriors to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

**Anytime Try Scorer picks:**
- Jack Broadbent — model probability 22.0%
- Taylor Kerr — model probability 22.3%
- Kian McDermott — model probability 31.1%
- Zach Eckersley — model probability 57.0%
- Adam Keighran — model probability 37.8%
- Jake Wardle — model probability 35.1%
**First Try Scorer picks:**
- Jack Broadbent — model probability 13.7%
- Rhyse Martin — model probability 8.9%
- Zach Eckersley — model probability 13.8%
- Adam Keighran — model probability 7.7%
- Jai Field — model probability 10.5%

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Wigan Warriors | Stat | Hull KR |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 33.2pts | Avg Score | 30.4pts |
| 12.0pts | Avg Conceded | 18.4pts |
| 21.2pts | Avg Margin | 12.0pts |
| 1411.6m | Run Metres | 1338.0m |
| 5.0 | Clean Breaks | 5.2 |
| 307.4 | Tackles | 330.4 |
| 8.2 | Errors | 10.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan Warriors | R20 W · R21 W · R22 W · R23 W · R24 W | 33.2 |
| Hull KR | R21 W · R22 W · R23 W · R2 L · R24 L | 30.4 |

### Common questions

**What's the predicted score?** A low-scoring Wigan Warriors win, around 27–15 (total ~42 — under the 60.5 line).

**Who's most likely to score first?** Zach Eckersley (13.8%), then Jack Broadbent (13.7%).

**Will it be high-scoring?** Unlikely — the model leans under the 60.5 line (model projects 42).

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-08-27 10:47 UTC (latest tip update)